ATR Trailing Stop by GideonMATR Trailing Stop Indicator
This ATR Trailing Stop Indicator is designed for traders who wish to enhance their exit strategies by leveraging volatility-based stops. It offers a systematic approach to trend management and risk control, enabling traders to capture extended trends while protecting their capital during market reversals. Works on Indian Indices as well.
Overview:
The ATR Trailing Stop indicator is a dynamic trend-following tool that adjusts stop levels based on market volatility. By incorporating the Average True Range (ATR), the indicator provides a flexible exit strategy that adapts to changing market conditions, helping traders lock in profits during trends and limit losses during reversals.
How It Works:
True Range and ATR Calculation:
The indicator first calculates the True Range (TR) for each bar, defined as the maximum of:
The difference between the high and low,
The absolute difference between the high and the previous close, and
The absolute difference between the low and the previous close.
Using the TR values, the ATR is computed over a user-defined period (default is 14 bars) with an option to use either a Simple Moving Average (SMA) or an Exponential Moving Average (EMA) as the smoothing method.
Trailing Stop Determination:
Two potential stop levels are calculated:
For an uptrend, the stop is determined as:
Stop = Close – (Multiplier × ATR)
For a downtrend, the stop is:
Stop = Close + (Multiplier × ATR)
The indicator maintains a persistent trailing stop that dynamically adjusts:
In an uptrend, the trailing stop only moves upward (or remains flat) to secure gains.
In a downtrend, it only moves downward, thereby protecting the position from excessive losses.
A reversal in trend is identified when the price crosses the trailing stop level, at which point the indicator flips the trend and resets the stop level accordingly.
Rationale:
Utilizing the ATR for trailing stops ensures that the stop levels are directly influenced by market volatility. This dynamic adjustment helps accommodate the natural price fluctuations of the market, providing a more adaptive risk management tool compared to fixed stop-loss levels. The approach is particularly useful in volatile markets where traditional static stops might be triggered prematurely.
Customization:
Key parameters that can be adjusted include:
ATR Period: The number of bars used to calculate the ATR.
ATR Multiplier: The factor that determines how far the trailing stop is set from the current price.
Smoothing Method: Option to choose between SMA and EMA for ATR calculation, allowing traders to tailor the sensitivity of the indicator to their specific trading style.
Tìm kiếm tập lệnh với "stop loss"
Fibonacci Extension Strt StrategyCore Logic and Steps:
Weekly Trend Identification:
Find the last significant Higher High (HH) and Lower Low (LL) or vice-versa on the Weekly timeframe.
Determine if it's an uptrend (HH followed by LL) or a downtrend (LL followed by HH).
Plot a Fibonacci Extension (or Retracement in reverse order) from the swing point determined to the other significant swing point.
Weekly Retracement Levels:
Display horizontal lines at the 0.236, 0.382, and 0.5 Fibonacci levels from the weekly extension.
Monitor price action on these levels.
Daily Confirmation:
When price hits the Fib levels, examine the Daily chart.
Look for a rejection wick (indicating the pull back is ending) on the identified weekly retracement levels.
Confirm that the price is indeed starting to continue in the direction of the original weekly trend.
Four-Hour Entry:
On the 4H timeframe, plot a new Fib Extension in the opposite direction of the weekly.
If it's an uptrend, the Fib is plotted from last swing low to its swing high. If the weekly trend was bearish the Fib will be plotted from last swing high to the swing low.
Generate an entry when price breaks the high of that candle.
Trade Management:
Entry is on the breakout of the current candle.
Stop Loss: Place the stop loss below the wick of the breakout candle.
Take Profit 1: Close 50% of the position at the 0.5 Fibonacci level. Move the stop loss to breakeven on this position.
Take Profit 2: Close another 25% of the position at the 0.236 Fib level.
Trailing Take Profit: Keep the last 25% open, using a trailing stop loss. (You'll need to define the logic for the trailing stop, e.g., trailing stop using the last high/low)
How to Use in TradingView:
Open a TradingView Chart.
Click on "Pine Editor" at the bottom.
Copy and paste the corrected Pine Script code.
Click "Add to Chart".
The indicator should now be displayed on your chart.
CandelaCharts - Swing Failure Pattern (SFP)# SWING FAILURE PATTERN
📝 Overview
The Swing Failure Pattern (SFP) indicator is designed to identify and highlight Swing Failure Patterns on a user’s chart. This pattern typically emerges when significant market participants generate liquidity by driving price action to key levels. An SFP occurs when the price temporarily breaks above a resistance level or below a support level, only to quickly reverse and return within the previous range. These movements are often associated with stop-loss hunting or liquidity grabs, providing traders with potential opportunities to anticipate reversals or key market turning points.
A Bullish SFP occurs when the price dips below a key support level, triggering stop-loss orders, but then swiftly reverses upward, signaling a potential upward trend or reversal.
A Bearish SFP happens when the price spikes above a key resistance level, triggering stop-losses of short positions, but then quickly reverses downward, indicating a potential bearish trend or reversal.
The indicator is a powerful tool for traders, helping to identify liquidity grabs and potential reversal points in real-time. Marking bullish and bearish Swing Failure Patterns on the chart, it provides clear visual cues for spotting market traps set by major players, enabling more informed trading decisions and improved risk management.
📦 Features
Bullish/Bearish SFPs
Styling
⚙️ Settings
Length: Determines the detection length of each SFP
Bullish SFP: Displays the bullish SFPs
Bearish SFP: Displays the bearish SFPs
Label: Controls the size of the label
⚡️ Showcase
Bullish
Bearish
Both
📒 Usage
The best approach is to combine a few complementary indicators to gain a clearer market perspective. This doesn’t mean relying on the Golden Cross, RSI divergences, SFPs, and funding rates simultaneously, but rather focusing on one or two that align well in a given scenario.
The example above demonstrates the confluence of a Bearish Swing Failure Pattern (SFP) with an RSI divergence. This combination strengthens the signal, as the Bearish SFP indicates a potential reversal after a liquidity grab, while the RSI divergence confirms weakening momentum at the key level. Together, these indicators provide a more robust setup for identifying potential market reversals with greater confidence.
🚨 Alerts
This script provides alert options for all signals.
Bearish Signal
A bearish signal is triggered when a Bearish SFP is formed.
Bullish Signal
A bullish signal is triggered when a Bullish SFP is formed.
⚠️ Disclaimer
Trading involves significant risk, and many participants may incur losses. The content on this site is not intended as financial advice and should not be interpreted as such. Decisions to buy, sell, hold, or trade securities, commodities, or other financial instruments carry inherent risks and are best made with guidance from qualified financial professionals. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
4Vietnamese 3x SupertrendThis strategy attempts to capture long positions in the Vietnamese stock market using a combination of three Supertrend indicators and additional filters. It utilizes pyramiding to enter up to three long positions with a 33.33% allocation each.
Key Elements:
Supertrend Indicators: Three Supertrend indicators are used with different lengths and multipliers to identify potential trend changes.
Entry Conditions:
The strategy looks for a downtrend on the slowest Supertrend (Supertrend3) followed by uptrends on the medium (Supertrend2) and fast (Supertrend1) Supertrends.
Alternatively, if Supertrend3 is still downtrending, but Supertrend1 is downtrending and a significant previous high (highestGreen) exists, an entry signal is generated.
An optional filter allows using the highest of the last two red candles for highestGreen calculation.
Entry Stop Loss:
An optional stop loss can be set based on the entry price of previous long positions, preventing further losses if the price falls below entry prices.
Exit Conditions:
Three exit options are available:
- All Downtrend Exit: Close all positions if all Supertrends turn uptrend and a bearish candlestick pattern (close price lower than open price) is formed.
- Average Price in Loss Exit: Close all positions if the average entry price of open positions is higher than the current closing price (indicating a loss).
- All Positions in Loss Exit: Close all positions if any of the following conditions are met:
A single open position exists, and its entry price is higher than the current close price.
Two open positions exist, and their entry prices are both higher than the current close price.
Three open positions exist, and their entry prices are all higher than the current close price.
Pyramiding: The strategy allows entering up to three long positions with a fixed allocation of 33.33% each.
Customization Options:
The strategy provides various input parameters to customize its behavior:
Supertrend lengths and multipliers for each indicator.
Option to use the highest of the last two red candles for highestGreen calculation.
Enabling/disabling Entry Stop Loss and different exit conditions.
Further Enhancements:
Explore additional entry and exit filters to refine trade signals.
Consider incorporating risk management techniques like position sizing and trailing stops.
Backtest the strategy with historical data to evaluate its effectiveness and identify potential areas for improvement.
Ask-Weighted Averages This indicator provides two price-based reference lines derived from volume dynamics within each bar. Specifically, it calculates a volume-weighted average price using only the portion of trading volume that occurred on the "ask" side, implying more aggressive buying activity. The logic behind this approach is to highlight potential support and resistance levels where buyers have shown greater conviction.
Key Features:
Ask-Weighted Average Prices:
Instead of using the entire trade volume, the lines focus on "ask volume" (volume associated with trades occurring at or near the ask price). This helps to spotlight areas where buyers have been dominant, potentially revealing more meaningful price levels for future market behavior.
Conditional vs. Continuous Lines:
Conditional Line: This line is only plotted if the dollar volume (a rough measure of trade value) exceeds a specified threshold, ensuring that the highlighted level is backed by substantial trading activity.
Continuous Line: A second line is always displayed, providing a running ask-weighted average price reference for additional context, regardless of dollar volume.
Supports Identifying Key Price Zones:
By focusing on where more motivated buyers have been active, the indicator helps traders identify potential inflection points in price, such as areas where the market might find support on pullbacks or resistance during rallies.
Overall, this indicator serves as a specialized tool for traders interested in volume-driven price analysis. It aims to refine the understanding of where buyers are most engaged and how that might shape future price movements.
Risks Associated with Trading:
No indicator can guarantee profitable trades or accurately predict future price movements. Market conditions are inherently unpredictable, and reliance on any single tool or combination of tools carries the risk of financial loss. Traders should practice sound risk management, including the use of stop losses and position sizing, and should not trade with funds they cannot afford to lose. Ultimately, decisions should be guided by a thorough trading plan and possibly supplemented with other forms of market analysis or professional advice.
Risks and Important Considerations:
• Not a Standalone Tool:
• This indicator should not be used in isolation. It is essential to incorporate additional technical analysis tools, fundamental analysis, and market context when making trading decisions.
• Relying solely on this indicator may lead to incomplete assessments of market conditions.
• Market Volatility and False Signals:
• Financial markets can be highly volatile, and indicators based on historical data may not accurately predict future movements.
• The indicator may produce false signals due to sudden market changes, low liquidity, or atypical trading activity.
• Risk Management:
• Always employ robust risk management strategies, including setting stop-loss orders, diversifying your portfolio, and not over-leveraging positions.
• Understand that no indicator guarantees success, and losses are a natural part of trading.
• Emotional Discipline:
• Avoid making impulsive decisions based on indicator signals alone.
• Emotional trading can lead to significant financial losses; maintain discipline and adhere to a well-thought-out trading plan.
• Continuous Learning and Adaptation:
• Stay informed about market news, economic indicators, and global events that may impact trading conditions.
• Continuously evaluate and adjust your trading strategies as market dynamics evolve.
• Consultation with Professionals:
• Consider seeking advice from financial advisors or professional traders to understand better how this indicator can fit into your overall trading strategy.
• Professional guidance can provide personalized insights based on your financial goals and risk tolerance.
Disclaimer:
Trading financial instruments involves substantial risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. This indicator is provided for informational and educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial professional before making any trading decisions.
Note: The effectiveness of any technical indicator can vary based on market conditions and individual trading styles. It's crucial to test indicators thoroughly using historical data and possibly paper trading before applying them in live trading scenarios.
Lot Size & Risk Calculator (All Pairs)this indicator is designed to simplify and optimize risk management. It automatically calculates the ideal lot size based on your account balance, risk percentage, and defined entry and exit levels. Additionally, it includes visual tools to represent stop-loss (SL) and take-profit (TP) levels, helping you trade with precision and consistency.
WHAT IS THIS INDICATOR FOR?
This indicator is essential for traders who want to:
Maintain consistent risk in their trades.
Quickly calculate lot sizes for Forex, XAUUSD, BTCUSD, and US100.
Visualize key levels (Entry, SL, and TP) on the chart.
Monitor potential losses and gains in real time.
COMPATIBLE ASSETS
The Lot Size Calculator works with the following assets:
Forex: Standard currency pairs.
XAUUSD: Gold versus the US dollar.
BTCUSD: Bitcoin versus the US dollar.
US100: Nasdaq 100 index.
Calculations adjust automatically based on the selected asset.
TAKE-PROFIT (TP) LEVELS
The indicator allows you to define up to three take-profit levels:
TP1
TP2
TP3
.
Each level is configurable based on your exit strategy.
DASHBOARD
The dashboard is a visual tool that consolidates key information about your trade:
Account balance: Total amount available in your account.
Lot size: Calculated based on your risk and parameters.
Potential loss (SL): Amount you could lose if the price hits your stop-loss.
Potential gain (TP): Expected profit if the take-profit level is reached.
SETTINGS
The indicator offers multiple configurable options to adapt to your trading style:
Levels
Entry: Initial trade price.
Stop-Loss (SL): Maximum allowed loss level.
Take-Profit (TP): Up to three configurable levels.
Risk Management
Account balance ($): Enter your total available balance.
Risk percentage: Define how much you're willing to risk per trade
.
Visual Options
Visualization style: Choose between simple lines or visual fills.
Colors: Customize the colors of lines and labels.
Dashboard Settings
Statistics: Enable or disable key data display.
Size and position: Adjust the dashboard's size and location on the chart.
HOW TO CHANGE AN ENTRY?
Open the indicator settings in TradingView and entering the new data manually
Removing and re-adding the indicator to the chart
Dynamic RSI Mean Reversion StrategyDynamic RSI Mean Reversion Strategy
Overview:
This strategy uses an RSI with ATR-Adjusted OB/OS levels in order to enhance the quality of it's mean reversion trades. It also incorporates a form of trend filtering in an effort to minimize downside and maximize upside. The backtest has fewer trades, as it uses substantial filtering to enhance trade quality. As you can see, I didn't cherry pick the results, so the results aren't the most beautiful thing you'll see in your life. I did this to ensure nobody gets misled. If you need a higher frequency of trades, consider removing the trend filter or increasing the length of the EMAs used for trend detection.
Features:
Dynamic OB/OS Levels: Uses ATR to adjust overbought and oversold thresholds dynamically, making the RSI more responsive in varying volatility conditions. This approach enhances signal strength by expanding the RSI range in high volatility and tightening it in low volatility.
Mean Reversion Focus: Designed for mean reversion but incorporates a trend-following filter to reduce countertrend trades. When the RSI is high, it often indicates an uptrend, so a trend filter prevents shorting in these cases and the same goes for downtrends and longing.
Trend Filtering: A moving average cross trend filter checks for the trend direction, with the RSI signal line color-coded to reflect trend shifts. Entries occur when the RSI crosses above or below the dynamic thresholds and is not a countertrend trade.
Stop Losses: Stop losses are set based on ATR distance from the entry price, providing volatility-adjusted protection.
Note:
If you're using this strategy on assets with a higher price, remember to increase the initial capital in the strategy settings. Otherwise, the strategy won't generate any (or many) trades and you'll end up with some inaccurate results.
Recommended Use:
Test it on different assets and timeframes. I’ve found the best results with standard RSI inputs, a relatively slow ATR, and a slower MA cross for trend filtering. Thus, the defaults are set that way. If the trend metrics are too slow, you’ll filter out too many good trades while allowing crummy ones; if too fast, most trades may be filtered out. As always, this has a lot of configurability so experiment to find the balance that works for your trading style.
Qty CalculatorThis Pine Script indicator, titled "Qty Calculator," is a customizable tool designed to assist traders in managing their trades by calculating key metrics related to risk management. It takes into account your total capital, entry price, stop-loss level, and desired risk percentage to provide a comprehensive overview of potential trade outcomes.
Key Features:
User Inputs:
Total Capital: The total amount of money available for trading.
Entry Price: The price at which the trader enters the trade.
Stop Loss: The price level at which the trade will automatically close to prevent further losses.
Risk Percentage: The percentage of the total capital that the trader is willing to risk on a single trade.
Customizable Table:
Position: The indicator allows you to choose the position of the table on the chart, with options including top-left, top-center, top-right, bottom-left, bottom-center, and bottom-right.
Size: You can adjust the number of rows and columns in the table to fit your needs.
Risk Management Calculations:
Difference Calculation: The difference between the entry price and the stop-loss level.
Risk Per Trade: Calculated as a percentage of your total capital.
Risk Levels: The indicator evaluates multiple risk levels (0.10%, 0.25%, 0.50%, 1.00%) and calculates the quantity, capital per trade, percentage of total capital, and the risk amount associated with each level.
R-Multiples Calculation:
The indicator calculates potential profit levels at 2x, 3x, 4x, and 5x the risk (R-Multiples), showing the potential gains if the trade moves in your favor by these multiples.
Table Display:
The table includes the following columns:
CapRisk%: Displays the risk percentage.
Qty: The quantity of the asset you should trade.
Cap/Trade: The capital allocated per trade.
%OfCapital: The percentage of total capital used in the trade.
Risk Amount: The monetary risk taken on each trade.
R Gains: Displays potential gains at different R-Multiples.
This indicator is particularly useful for traders who prioritize risk management and want to ensure that their trades are aligned with their capital and risk tolerance. By providing a clear and customizable table of critical metrics, it helps traders make informed decisions and better manage their trading strategies.
Monthly Day Long Strategy with VIX and Risk ManagementThis trading strategy is designed to open long positions on a specific day of the month, with the conditions for entry and exit based on the VIX index and additional risk management techniques. The strategy includes stop-loss and take-profit features to manage risk and lock in profits.
Inputs:
Entry Day of the Month (entry_day): Specifies which day of the month to consider for initiating a trade. The default value is the 27th.
Hold Duration (Days) (hold_duration_days): Defines how many days to hold the position after opening. The default value is 4 days.
VIX Threshold (vix_threshold): Sets the maximum acceptable value for the VIX index to consider an entry. If the VIX is below this threshold, it signals a potential trade. The default value is 20.0.
Stop Loss (%) (stop_loss_percentage): Determines the percentage below the entry price where the stop-loss will be triggered. The default value is 2.0%.
Take Profit (%) (take_profit_percentage): Sets the percentage above the entry price where the take-profit will be triggered. The default value is 5.0%.
Functions:
next_weekday(date): Adjusts the entry date to the next Monday if it falls on a weekend (Saturday or Sunday). This ensures trades do not occur on non-trading days.
Logic:
Entry Conditions:
Date Check: Opens a long position if the current date matches the adjusted entry date (the 27th or the next Monday if the 27th falls on a weekend).
VIX Filter: The VIX index value must be below the specified threshold (e.g., 20.0) to consider an entry.
Exit Conditions:
Time-Based Exit: Closes the position after the hold duration of 4 days.
Stop-Loss: Automatically closes the position if the price drops to a level that is a specified percentage below the entry price (e.g., 2.0%).
Take-Profit: Closes the position if the price rises to a level that is a specified percentage above the entry price (e.g., 5.0%).
Plots:
VIX Plot: Displays the VIX index on the chart for visual reference.
VIX Threshold Line: A horizontal line representing the VIX threshold value.
Summary:
The strategy aims to take advantage of specific entry days while filtering trades based on VIX levels to ensure market conditions are favorable. Risk management is enhanced through stop-loss and take-profit settings, which help in controlling potential losses and securing profits. The strategy ensures trades are only made on trading days and not on weekends, adjusting automatically to the next Monday if needed.
ChatGPT kann Fehler machen. Überprüfe wichtige Informationen.
Supertrend (Buy/Sell) With TP & SLSupertrend (Buy/Sell) with TP & SL: An Enhanced Trading Tool
This Pine Script indicator combines the popular Supertrend indicator with multiple take-profit (TP) and stop-loss (SL) levels, providing traders with a comprehensive visual aid for potential entries, exits, and risk management.
Originality
Buffer Zones for Precision: Instead of relying solely on the Supertrend line, this script incorporates buffer zones around it. This helps filter out false signals, especially in volatile markets, leading to more accurate buy/sell signals.
Flexible Stop-Loss: Offers the choice between a fixed or trailing stop-loss, allowing traders to tailor their risk management approach based on their preferences and market conditions.
Multiple Take-Profit Levels: Provides three potential take-profit levels, giving traders the flexibility to secure profits at different stages of a trend.
Heikin Ashi Candles & VWAP: Incorporates Heikin Ashi candles for smoother trend visualization and adds a VWAP line for potential support/resistance levels.
Clear Table Display: Presents key information like Stop Loss and Take Profit levels in a user-friendly table, making it easier to track trade targets.
How It Works
Supertrend Calculation: The Supertrend is calculated using ATR (Average True Range) to gauge market volatility. The script then creates buffer zones around the Supertrend line for refined signal generation.
Buy/Sell Signals:
Buy: When the close price crosses above the upper buffer zone, indicating a potential uptrend.
Sell: When the close price crosses below the lower buffer zone, suggesting a potential downtrend.
Take Profit & Stop Loss:
Take Profits: Three TP levels are calculated based on ATR and a customizable profit factor.
Stop Loss: The stop-loss can be set as either a fixed value based on ATR or as a trailing stop-loss that dynamically adjusts to lock in profits.
How To Use
Add the Indicator: Search for "Supertrend (Buy/Sell) With TP & SL" in the TradingView indicators list and add it to your chart.
Customize Inputs: Adjust parameters like ATR Period, Factor, Take Profit Factor, Stop Loss Factor, Stop Loss Type, etc., based on your trading style and preferences.
Interpret Signals: Look for buy signals when the price crosses above the upper buffer and sell signals when it crosses below the lower buffer.
Manage Risk: Use the plotted Take Profit and Stop Loss levels to manage your risk and potential rewards.
Concepts
Supertrend: A trend-following indicator that helps identify the direction of the prevailing trend.
ATR (Average True Range): A measure of market volatility.
Buffer Zones: Used to filter out false signals by creating a zone around the Supertrend line.
Trailing Stop Loss: A dynamic stop-loss that moves with the price to protect profits.
Heikin Ashi: A type of candlestick chart designed to filter out market noise and make trends easier to identify.
VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price): An indicator that shows the average price at which a security has traded throughout the day, based on both volume and price.
Important Note: This script is for educational and informational purposes only. Backtest thoroughly and use with caution in live trading. Always manage your risk appropriately.
Risk Management and Positionsize - MACD exampleMastering Risk Management
Risk management is the cornerstone of successful trading, and it's often the difference between turning a profit and suffering a loss. In light of its importance, I share a risk management tool which you can use for your trading strategies. The script not only assists in position sizing but also comes with built-in technical features that help in market timing. Let's delve into the nitty-gritty details.
Input Parameter: MarginFactor
One of the key features of the script is the MarginFactor input parameter. This element lets you control the portion of your equity used for placing each trade. A MarginFactor of -0.5 means 50% of your total equity will be deployed in placing the position size. Although Tradingview has a built-in option to adjust position sizing in a same way, I personally prefer to have the logic in my pinecode script. The main reason is userexperience in managing and testing different settings for different charts, timeframes and instruments (with the same strategy).
Stoploss and MarginFactor
If your strategy has a 4% stop-loss, you can choose to use only 50% of your equity by setting the MarginFactor to -0.5. In this case, you are effectively risking only 2% of your total capital per trade, which aligns well with the widely-accepted rule of thumb suggesting a 1-2% risk per trade. Similar if your stoploss is only 1% you can choose to change the MarginFactor to 1, resulting in a positionsize of 200% of your equity. The total risk would be again 2% per trade if your stoploss is set to 1%.
Max Drawdown and MarginFactor
Your MarginFactor setting can also be aligned with the maximum drawdown of your strategy, seen during a backtested period of 2-3 years. For example, if the max drawdown is 15%, you could calibrate your MarginFactor accordingly to limit your risk exposure.
Option to Toggle Number of Contracts
The script offers the option to toggle between using a percentage of equity for position sizing or specifying a fixed number of contracts. Utilizing a percentage of equity might yield unrealistic backtest results, especially over longer periods. This occurs because as the capital grows, the absolute position size also increases, potentially inflating the accumulated returns generated by the backtester. On the other hand, setting a fixed number of contracts as your position size offers a more stable and realistic ROI over the backtested period, as it removes the compounding effect on position sizes.
Key Features Strategy
MACD High Time Frame Entry and Exit Logic
The strategy employs a high time frame MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) to make entry and exit decisions. You can easily adjust the timeframe settings and MACD settings in the inputsection to trade on lower timeframes. For more information on the HTF MACD with dynamic smoothing see:
Moving Average High Time Frame Filter
To reduce market 'noise', the strategy incorporates a high time frame moving average filter. This ensures that the trades are aligned with the dominant market trend (trading the trend). In the inputsection traders can easily switch between different type of moving averages. For more information about this HTF filter see:
Dynamic Smoothing
The script includes a feature for dynamic smoothing. The script contains The timeframeToMinutes(tf) function to convert any given time frame into its equivalent in minutes. For example, a daily (D) time frame is converted into 1440 minutes, a weekly (W) into 10,080 minutes, and so forth. Next the smoothing factor is calculated by dividing the minutes of the higher time frame by those of the current time frame. Finally, the script applies a Simple Moving Average (SMA) over the MACD, SIGNAL, and HIST values, MA filter using the dynamically calculated smoothing factor.
User Convenience: One of the major benefits is that traders don't need to manually adjust the smoothing factor when switching between different time frames. The script does this dynamically.
Visual Consistency: Dynamic smoothing helps traders to more accurately visualize and interpret HTF indicators when trading on lower time frames.
Time Frame Restriction: It's crucial to note that the operational time frame should always be lower than the time frame selected in the input sections for dynamic smoothing to function as intended.
By incorporating this dynamic smoothing logic, the script offers traders a nuanced yet straightforward way to adapt High Time Frame indicators for lower time frame trading, enhancing both adaptability and user experience.
Limitations: Exit Strategy
It's crucial to note that the script comes with a simplified exit strategy, devoid of features like a stop-loss, trailing stop-loss or multiple take profits. This means that while the script focuses on entries and risk management, it might result in higher losses if market conditions unexpectedly turn unfavorable.
Conclusion
Effective risk management is pivotal for trading success, and this TradingView script is designed to give you a better idea how to implement positions sizing with your preferred strategy. However, it's essential to note that this tool should not be considered financial advice. Always perform your due diligence and consult with financial advisors before making any trading decisions.
Feel free to use this risk management tool as building block in your trading scripts, Happy Trading!
Investments/swing trading strategy for different assetsStop worrying about catching the lowest price, it's almost impossible!: with this trend-following strategy and protection from bearish phases, you will know how to enter the market properly to obtain benefits in the long term.
Backtesting context: 1899-11-01 to 2023-02-16 of SPX by Tvc. Commissions: 0.05% for each entry, 0.05% for each exit. Risk per trade: 2.5% of the total account
For this strategy, 5 indicators are used:
One Ema of 200 periods
Atr Stop loss indicator from Gatherio
Squeeze momentum indicator from LazyBear
Moving average convergence/divergence or Macd
Relative strength index or Rsi
Trade conditions:
There are three type of entries, one of them depends if we want to trade against a bearish trend or not.
---If we keep Against trend option deactivated, the rules for two type of entries are:---
First type of entry:
With the next rules, we will be able to entry in a pull back situation:
Squeeze momentum is under 0 line (red)
Close is above 200 Ema and close is higher than the past close
Histogram from macd is under 0 line and is higher than the past one
Once these rules are met, we enter into a buy position. Stop loss will be determined by atr stop loss (white point) and break even(blue point) by a risk/reward ratio of 1:1.
For closing this position: Squeeze momentum crosses over 0 and, until squeeze momentum crosses under 0, we close the position. Otherwise, we would have closed the position due to break even or stop loss.
Second type of entry:
With the next rules, we will not lose a possible bullish movement:
Close is above 200 Ema
Squeeze momentum crosses under 0 line
Once these rules are met, we enter into a buy position. Stop loss will be determined by atr stop loss (white point) and break even(blue point) by a risk/reward ratio of 1:1.
Like in the past type of entry, for closing this position: Squeeze momentum crosses over 0 and, until squeeze momentum crosses under 0, we close the position. Otherwise, we would have closed the position due to break even or stop loss.
---If we keep Against trend option activated, the rules are the same as the ones above, but with one more type of entry. This is more useful in weekly timeframes, but could also be used in daily time frame:---
Third type of entry:
Close is under 200 Ema
Squeeze momentum crosses under 0 line
Once these rules are met, we enter into a buy position. Stop loss will be determined by atr stop loss (white point) and break even(blue point) by a risk/reward ratio of 1:1.
Like in the past type of entries, for closing this position: Squeeze momentum crosses over 0 and, until squeeze momentum crosses under 0, we close the position. Otherwise, we would have closed the position due to break even or stop loss.
Risk management
For calculating the amount of the position you will use just a small percent of your initial capital for the strategy and you will use the atr stop loss for this.
Example: You have 1000 usd and you just want to risk 2,5% of your account, there is a buy signal at price of 4,000 usd. The stop loss price from atr stop loss is 3,900. You calculate the distance in percent between 4,000 and 3,900. In this case, that distance would be of 2.50%. Then, you calculate your position by this way: (initial or current capital * risk per trade of your account) / (stop loss distance).
Using these values on the formula: (1000*2,5%)/(2,5%) = 1000usd. It means, you have to use 1000 usd for risking 2.5% of your account.
We will use this risk management for applying compound interest.
In settings, with position amount calculator, you can enter the amount in usd of your account and the amount in percentage for risking per trade of the account. You will see this value in green color in the upper left corner that shows the amount in usd to use for risking the specific percentage of your account.
Script functions
Inside of settings, you will find some utilities for display atr stop loss, break evens, positions, signals, indicators, etc.
You will find the settings for risk management at the end of the script if you want to change something. But rebember, do not change values from indicators, the idea is to not over optimize the strategy.
If you want to change the initial capital for backtest the strategy, go to properties, and also enter the commisions of your exchange and slippage for more realistic results.
If you activate break even using rsi, when rsi crosses under overbought zone break even will be activated. This can work in some assets.
---Important: In risk managment you can find an option called "Use leverage ?", activate this if you want to backtest using leverage, which means that in case of not having enough money for risking the % determined by you of your account using your initial capital, you will use leverage for using the enough amount for risking that % of your acount in a buy position. Otherwise, the amount will be limited by your initial/current capital---
Some things to consider
USE UNDER YOUR OWN RISK. PAST RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT THE FUTURE.
DEPENDING OF % ACCOUNT RISK PER TRADE, YOU COULD REQUIRE LEVERAGE FOR OPEN SOME POSITIONS, SO PLEASE, BE CAREFULL AND USE CORRECTLY THE RISK MANAGEMENT
Do not forget to change commissions and other parameters related with back testing results!
Some assets and timeframes where the strategy has also worked:
BTCUSD : 4H, 1D, W
SPX (US500) : 4H, 1D, W
GOLD : 1D, W
SILVER : 1D, W
ETHUSD : 4H, 1D
DXY : 1D
AAPL : 4H, 1D, W
AMZN : 4H, 1D, W
META : 4H, 1D, W
(and others stocks)
BANKNIFTY : 4H, 1D, W
DAX : 1D, W
RUT : 1D, W
HSI : 1D, W
NI225 : 1D, W
USDCOP : 1D, W
SuperTrend Entry(My goal creating this indicator) : Provide a way to enter the market systematically, automatically create Stop Loss Levels and Take Profit Levels, and provide the position size of each entry based on a fix Percentage of the traders account.
The Underlying Concept :
What is Momentum?
The Momentum shown is derived from a Mathematical Formula, SUPERTREND. When price closes above Supertrend Its bullish Momentum when its below Supertrend its Bearish Momentum. This indicator scans for candle closes on the current chart and when there is a shift in momentum (price closes below or above SUPERTREND) it notifies the trader with a Bar Color change.
Technical Inputs
- If you want to optimize the rate of signals to better fit your trading plan you would change the Factor input and ATR Length input. Increase factor and ATR Length to decrease the frequency of signals and decrease the Factor and ATR Length to increase the frequency of signals.
Quick TIP! : You can Sync all VFX SuperTrend Indicators together! All VFX SuperTrend indicators display unique information but its all derived from that same Momentum Formula. Keep the Factor input and ATR Length the same on other VFX SuperTrend indicators to have them operating on the same data.
Display Inputs
- The indicator has a candle overlay option you can toggle ON or OFF. If toggled ON the candles color will represent the momentum of your current chart ( bullish or bearish Momentum)
your able to change the colors that represent bullish or bearish to your preference
- You can toggle on which shows the exact candle momentum switched sides
your able to change the colors that represent a bullish switch or bearish switch to your preference
- The trader can specify which point you would like your stop loss to reference. (Low and High) Which uses the Low of the Momentum signal as the reference for your Stop Loss during buy signals and the High as the reference during sell signals. Or (Lowest Close and Highest Close) which uses the Lowest Close of the Momentum signal as the reference for your Stop Loss during buys and the Highest Close as the reference during sells.
- The colors that represent your Stop Loses and Take Profits can also be changed
Risk Management Inputs
- Your Risk MANAGMENT section is used to set up how your Stop Loss and Take Profit are calculated
- You have the option to take in account Volatility when calculating your Stop Loss. A adjusted ATR formula is used to achieve this. Increase Stop Loss Multiplier from 0 to widen stops.
- Increase Take Profit Multiplier from 0 to access visual Take Profit Levels based on your Stop Loss. This will be important for traders that Prefer trading using risk rewards. For Example: If the the Take Profit Multiplier is 3 a Take Profit level 3 times the size or your stop loss from your entry will be shown and a price number corresponding to that Take Profit Level becomes available.
- Enter your current Account size, Bet Percentage and Fixed Spread to get your Position Size for each trade
-Toggle on the Current Trade Chart and easily get the size of your Position and the exact price of your Take Profit and Stop Loss.
You can increase the Size of the Current Trade Chart= Tiny, Small, Normal, Large, Huge and change the Position of the Current
trade Chart to your preference, (Top- Right, Center, Left) (Middle- Right, Center, Left) (Bottom- Right, Center, Left).
How it can be used ?
- Enter Trades and always know where your stop is going to be
- Eliminate the need to manual calculate Position Size
- Get a consistent view of the current charts momentum
- Systematical enter trades
- Reduce information overload
CDC ActionZone BF for ETHUSD-1D © PRoSkYNeT-EE
Based on improvements from "Kitti-Playbook Action Zone V.4.2.0.3 for Stock Market"
Based on improvements from "CDC Action Zone V3 2020 by piriya33"
Based on Triple MACD crossover between 9/15, 21/28, 15/28 for filter error signal (noise) from CDC ActionZone V3
MACDs generated from the execution of millions of times in the "Brute Force Algorithm" to backtest data from the past 5 years. ( 2017-08-21 to 2022-08-01 )
Released 2022-08-01
***** The indicator is used in the ETHUSD 1 Day period ONLY *****
Recommended Stop Loss : -4 % (execute stop Loss after candlestick has been closed)
Backtest Result ( Start $100 )
Winrate 63 % (Win:12, Loss:7, Total:19)
Live Days 1,806 days
B : Buy
S : Sell
SL : Stop Loss
2022-07-19 07 - 1,542 : B 6.971 ETH
2022-04-13 07 - 3,118 : S 8.98 % $10,750 12,7,19 63 %
2022-03-20 07 - 2,861 : B 3.448 ETH
2021-12-03 07 - 4,216 : SL -8.94 % $9,864 11,7,18 61 %
2021-11-30 07 - 4,630 : B 2.340 ETH
2021-11-18 07 - 3,997 : S 13.71 % $10,832 11,6,17 65 %
2021-10-05 07 - 3,515 : B 2.710 ETH
2021-09-20 07 - 2,977 : S 29.38 % $9,526 10,6,16 63 %
2021-07-28 07 - 2,301 : B 3.200 ETH
2021-05-20 07 - 2,769 : S 50.49 % $7,363 9,6,15 60 %
2021-03-30 07 - 1,840 : B 2.659 ETH
2021-03-22 07 - 1,681 : SL -8.29 % $4,893 8,6,14 57 %
2021-03-08 07 - 1,833 : B 2.911 ETH
2021-02-26 07 - 1,445 : S 279.27 % $5,335 8,5,13 62 %
2020-10-13 07 - 381 : B 3.692 ETH
2020-09-05 07 - 335 : S 38.43 % $1,407 7,5,12 58 %
2020-07-06 07 - 242 : B 4.199 ETH
2020-06-27 07 - 221 : S 28.49 % $1,016 6,5,11 55 %
2020-04-16 07 - 172 : B 4.598 ETH
2020-02-29 07 - 217 : S 47.62 % $791 5,5,10 50 %
2020-01-12 07 - 147 : B 3.644 ETH
2019-11-18 07 - 178 : S -2.73 % $536 4,5,9 44 %
2019-11-01 07 - 183 : B 3.010 ETH
2019-09-23 07 - 201 : SL -4.29 % $551 4,4,8 50 %
2019-09-18 07 - 210 : B 2.740 ETH
2019-07-12 07 - 275 : S 63.69 % $575 4,3,7 57 %
2019-05-03 07 - 168 : B 2.093 ETH
2019-04-28 07 - 158 : S 29.51 % $352 3,3,6 50 %
2019-02-15 07 - 122 : B 2.225 ETH
2019-01-10 07 - 125 : SL -6.02 % $271 2,3,5 40 %
2018-12-29 07 - 133 : B 2.172 ETH
2018-05-22 07 - 641 : S 5.95 % $289 2,2,4 50 %
2018-04-21 07 - 605 : B 0.451 ETH
2018-02-02 07 - 922 : S 197.42 % $273 1,2,3 33 %
2017-11-11 07 - 310 : B 0.296 ETH
2017-10-09 07 - 297 : SL -4.50 % $92 0,2,2 0 %
2017-10-07 07 - 311 : B 0.309 ETH
2017-08-22 07 - 310 : SL -4.02 % $96 0,1,1 0 %
2017-08-21 07 - 323 : B 0.310 ETH
EMA bands + leledc + bollinger bands trend following strategy v2The basics:
In its simplest form, this strategy is a positional trend following strategy which enters long when price breaks out above "middle" EMA bands and closes or flips short when price breaks down below "middle" EMA bands. The top and bottom of the middle EMA bands are calculated from the EMA of candle highs and lows, respectively.
The idea is that entering trades on breakouts of the high EMAs and low EMAs rather than the typical EMA based on candle closes gives a bit more confirmation of trend strength and minimizes getting chopped up. To further reduce getting chopped up, the strategy defaults to close on crossing the opposite EMA band (ie. long on break above high EMA middle band and close below low EMA middle band).
This strategy works on all markets on all timeframes, but as a trend following strategy it works best on markets prone to trending such as crypto and tech stocks. On lower timeframes, longer EMAs tend to work best (I've found good results on EMA lengths even has high up to 1000), while 4H charts and above tend to work better with EMA lengths 21 and below.
As an added filter to confirm the trend, a second EMA can be used. Inputting a slower EMA filter can ensure trades are entered in accordance with longer term trends, inputting a faster EMA filter can act as confirmation of breakout strength.
Bar coloring can be enabled to quickly visually identify a trend's direction for confluence with other indicators or strategies.
The goods:
Waiting for the trend to flip before closing a trade (especially when a longer base EMA is used) often leaves money on the table. This script combines a number of ways to identify when a trend is exhausted for backtesting the best early exits.
"Delayed bars inside middle bands" - When a number of candle's in a row open and close between the middle EMA bands, it could be a sign the trend is weak, or that the breakout was not the start of a new trend. Selecting this will close out positions after a number of bars has passed
"Leledc bars" - Originally introduced by glaz, this is a price action indicator that highlights a candle after a number of bars in a row close the same direction and result in greatest high/low over a period. It often triggers when a strong trend has paused before further continuation, or it marks the end of a trend. To mitigate closing on false Leledc signals, this strategy has two options: 1. Introducing requirement for increased volume on the Leledc bars can help filter out Leledc signals that happen mid trend. 2. Closing after a number of Leledc bars appear after position opens. These two options work great in isolation but don't perform well together in my testing.
"Bollinger Bands exhaustion bars" - These bars are highlighted when price closes back inside the Bollinger Bands and RSI is within specified overbought/sold zones. The idea is that a trend is overextended when price trades beyond the Bollinger Bands. When price closes back inside the bands it's likely due for mean reversion back to the base EMA in which this strategy will ideally re-enter a position. Since the added RSI requirements often make this indicator too strict to trigger a large enough sample size to backtest, I've found it best to use "non-standard" settings for both the bands and the RSI as seen in the default settings.
"Buy/Sell zones" - Similar to the idea behind using Bollinger Bands exhaustion bars as a closing signal. Instead of calculating off of standard deviations, the Buy/Sell zones are calculated off multiples of the middle EMA bands. When trading beyond these zones and subsequently failing back inside, price may be due for mean reversion back to the base EMA. No RSI filter is used for Buy/Sell zones.
If any early close conditions are selected, it's often worth enabling trade re-entry on "middle EMA band bounce". Instead of waiting for a candle to close back inside the middle EMA bands, this feature will re-enter position on only a wick back into the middle bands as will sometimes happen when the trend is strong.
Any and all of the early close conditions can be combined. Experimenting with these, I've found can result in less net profit but higher win-rates and sharpe ratios as less time is spent in trades.
The deadly:
The trend is your friend. But wouldn't it be nice to catch the trends early? In ranging markets (or when using slower base EMAs in this strategy), waiting for confirmation of a breakout of the EMA bands at best will cause you to miss half the move, at worst will result in getting consistently chopped up. Enabling "counter-trend" trades on this strategy will allow the strategy to enter positions on the opposite side of the EMA bands on either a Leledc bar or Bollinger Bands exhaustion bar. There is a filter requiring either a high/low (for Leledc) or open (for BB bars) outside the selected inner or outer Buy/Sell zone. There are also a number of different close conditions for the counter-trend trades to experiment with and backtest.
There are two ways I've found best to use counter-trend trades
1. Mean reverting scalp trades when a trend is clearly overextended. Selecting from the first 5 counter-trend closing conditions on the dropdown list will usually close the trades out quickly, with less profit but less risk.
2. Trying to catch trends early. Selecting any of the close conditions below the first 5 can cause the strategy to behave as if it's entering into a new trend (from the wrong side).
This feature can be deadly effective in profiting from every move price makes, or deadly to the strategy's PnL if not set correctly. Since counter-trend trades open opposite the middle bands, a stop-loss is recommended to reduce risk. If stop-losses for counter-trend trades are disabled, the strategy will hold a position open often until liquidation in a trending market if th trade is offsides. Note that using a slower base EMA makes counter-trend stop-losses even more necessary as it can reduce the effectiveness of the Buy/Sell zone filter for opening the trades as price can spend a long time trending outside the zones. If faster EMAs (34 and below) are used with "Inner" Buy/Zone filter selected, the first few closing conditions will often trigger almost immediately closing the trade at a loss.
The niche:
I've added a feature to default into longs or shorts. Enabling these with other features (aside from the basic long/short on EMA middle band breakout) tends to break the strategy one way or another. Enabling default long works to simulate trying to acquire more of the asset rather than the base currency. Enabling default short can have positive results for those high FDV, high inflation coins that go down-only for months at a time. Otherwise, I use default short as a hedge for coins that I hold and stake spot. I gain the utility and APR of staking while reducing the risk of holding the underlying asset by maintaining a net neutral position *most* of the time.
Disclaimer:
This script is intended for experimenting and backtesting different strategies around EMA bands. Use this script for your live trading at your own risk. I am a rookie coder, as such there may be errors in the code that cause the strategy to behave not as intended. As far as I can tell it doesn't repaint, but I cannot guarantee that it does not. That being said if there's any question, improvements, or errors you've found, drop a comment below!
Stochastic Moving AverageHi all,
This Strategy script combines the power of EMAs along with the Stochastic Oscillator in a trend following / continuation manner, along with some cool functionalities.
I designed this script especially for trading altcoins, but it works just as good on Bitcoin itself and on some Forex pairs.
______ SIGNALS ______
The script has 4 mandatory conditions to unlock a trading signal. Find these conditions for a long trade below (works the exact other way round for shorts)
- Fast EMA must be higher than Slow EMA
- Stochastic K% line must be in oversold territory
- Stochastic K% line must cross over Stochastic D% line
- Price as to close between slow EMA and fast EMA
Once all the conditions are true, a trade will start at the opening of the next
______ SETTINGS ______
- Trade Setup:
Here you can choose to trade only longs or shorts and change your Risk:Reward.
You can also decide to adjust your volume per position according to your risk tolerance. With “% of Equity” your stop loss will always be equal to a fixed percentage of your initial capital (will “compound” overtime) and with “$ Amount” your stop loss will always be 'x' amount of the base currency (ex: USD, will not compound)
Stop Loss:
The ATR is used to create a stop loss that matches current volatility. The multiplier corresponds to how many times the ATR stop losses and take profits will be away from closing price.
- Stochastic:
Here you can find the usual K% & D% length and overbought (OB) and oversold (OS) levels.
The “Stochastic OB/OS lookback” increase the tolerance towards OB/OS territories. It allows to look 'x' bars back for a value of the Stochastic K line to be overbought or oversold when detecting an entry signal.
The “All must be OB/OS” refers to the previous “Stochastic OB/OS lookback” parameter. If this option is ticked, instead of needing only 1 OB/OS value within the lookback period to get a valid signal, now, all bars looked back must be OB/OS.
The color gradient drawn between the fast and slow EMAs is a representation of the Stochastic K% line position. With default setting colors, when fast EMA > slow EMA, gradient will become solid blue when Stochastic is oversold and when slow EMA > fast EMA, gradient will become solid blue when Stochastic is overbought
- EMAs:
Just pick your favorite ones
- Reference Market:
An additional filter to be certain to stay aligned with the current a market index trend (in our case: Bitcoin). If selected reference market (and timeframe) is trading above selected EMA, this strategy will only take long trades (vice-versa for shorts) Because, let’s face it… even if this filter isn’t bulletproof, you know for sure that when Bitcoin tanks, there won’t be many Alts going north simultaneously. Once again, this is a trend following strategy.
A few tips for increased performance: fast EMA and D% Line can be real fast… 😉
As always, my scripts evolve greatly with your ideas and suggestions, keep them coming! I will gladly incorporate more functionalities as I go.
All my script are tradable when published but remain work in progress, looking for further improvements.
Hope you like it!
Breakout Trend Trading Strategy - V1Strategy in nutshell:
This strategy is made to be used in daily time-frames. Works better on trending instruments where volume is available. Hence, this is more suitable for trending shares rather than currencies, commodities and indexes where volume data is either not present or not reliable.
Breakout signifies the continuation of trend. Hence, trade in the direction of breakouts. Breakouts are calculated based on high volume and price movement in a day. This will be combined with few other conditions to generate buy and sell signals along with stop and compound targets. Supertrend is used for trend bias. Our buy and sell targets do not directly depend on the bias. But, entry criteria in opposite trend is made much difficult than that of trend direction. Further explanation of method and input parameters are explained below.
Backtesting parameters :
Capital and position sizing : Capital and position sizing parameters are set to test investing 2000 wholly on certain stock without compounding.
Initial Capital : 2000
Order Size : 100% of equity
Pyramiding : 1
ExitOnSignal : If unchecked exit is triggered solely on trailing stop
Trade Direction : Long, Short or All. Short condition is riskier than long conditions and often results in losses as per my observation. On most of the stocks trending up, strategy will not generate any short signals. This is achieved by comparing yearly high lows to previous two years to decide whether to allow short or long entries.
allowImmediateCompound : Applicable only if compounding/pyramiding is enabled in trade. If checked allows to place compounding orders immediately. If unchecked, it waits for stopline to cross order price before placing next compound.
Display Mode :
Targets : Whenever breakout happens, show marker for upTarget and downTarget
TargetChannel : Show up target and downtarget as a channel
Target With Stop : Along with targets, show also stop levels for breakouts
Up Channel : Channel created from UpTarget and respective stops
Down Channel : Channel created from DownTarget and respective stops
ShowTrailingStop : Shows trailing stop and compound lines when there is a trading position.
ShowTargetLevels : Shows Buy Sell target levels along with stop and compound lines. Trades are done as market orders. Hence, target levels are displayed after strategy makes the trade. Since only one order allowed per side without compounding, target, stop and compound levels are shown sometimes even without trade being made. These can be considered as entry levels if there is no existing position.
ShowPreviousLevels : Shows previous buy/sell target levels. When enabled, layout can look messy.
StopMultiplyer: To Set trailing stop loss.
BacktestYears: Number of years to include in backtest
So far my test cases are:
Positive : AAPL, AMZN, TSLA, RUN, VRT, ASX:APT
Negative Test Cases: WPL, WHC, NHC, WOW, COL, NAB (All ASX stocks)
Special test case: WDI
Negative test cases still show losses in backtesting. I have attempted including many conditions to eliminate or reduce the loss. But, further efforts has resulted in reduction in profits in positive cases as well. Still experimenting. Will update whenever I find improvements. Comments and suggestions welcome :)
Grid Like StrategyIt is possible to use progressive position sizing in order to recover from past losses, a well-known position sizing system being the "martingale", which consists of doubling your position size after a loss, this allows you to recover any previous losses in a losing streak + winning an extra. This system has seen a lot of attention from the trading community (mostly from beginners), and many strategies have been designed around the martingale, one of them being "grid trading strategies".
While such strategies often shows promising results on paper, they are often subjects to many frictions during live trading that makes them totally unusable and dangerous to the trader. The motivations behind posting such a strategy isn't to glorify such systems, but rather to present the problems behind them, many users come to me with their ideas and glorious ways to make money, sometimes they present strategies using the martingale, and it is important to present the flaws of this methodology rather than blindly saying "you shouldn't use it".
Strategy Settings
Point determines the "grid" size and should be adjusted accordingly to the scale of the symbol you are applying the strategy to. Higher value would require larger price movements in order to trigger a trade, as such higher values will generate fewer trades.
The order size determines the number of contracts/shares to purchase.
The martingale multiplier determines the factor by which the position size is multiplied after a loss, using values higher to 2 will "squarify" your balance, while a value of 1 would use a constant position sizing.
Finally, the anti-martingale parameter determines whether the strategy uses a reverse martingale or not, if set to true then the position size is multiplied after any wins.
The Grid
Grid strategies are commons and do not present huge problems until we use certain position sizing methods such as the martingale. A martingale is extremely sensitive to any kind of friction (frictional costs, slippage...etc), the grid strategy aims to provide a stable and simple environment where a martingale might possibly behave well.
The goal of a simple grid strategy is to go long once the price crossover a certain level, a take profit is set at the level above the current one and stop loss is placed at the level below the current one, in a winning scenario the price reach the take profit, the position is closed and a new one is opened with the same setup. In a losing scenario, the price reaches the stop loss level, the position is closed and a short one is opened, the take profit is set at the level below the current one, and a stop loss is set at the level above the current one. Note that all levels are equally spaced.
It follows from this strategy that wins and losses should be constant over time, as such our balance would evolve in a linear fashion. This is a great setup for a martingale, as we are theoretically assured to recover all the looses in a losing streak.
Martingale - Exponential Decays - Risk/Reward
By using a martingale we double our position size (exposure) each time we lose a trade, if we look at our balance when using a martingale we see significant drawdowns, with our balance peaking down significantly. The martingale sequence is subject to exponential growth, as such using a martingale makes our balance exposed to exponential decays, that's really bad, we could basically lose all the initially invested capital in a short amount of time, it follows from this that the theoretical success of a martingale is determined by what is the maximum losing streak you can endure
Now consider how a martingale affects our risk-reward ratio, assuming unity position sizing our martingale sequence can be described by 2^(x-1) , using this formula we would get the amount of shares/contracts we need to purchase at the x trade of a losing streak, we would need to purchase 256 contracts in order to recover from a losing streak of size 9, this is enormous when you take into account that your wins are way smaller, the risk-reward ratio is totally unfair.
Of course, some users might think that a losing streak of size 9 is pretty unlikely, if the probability of winning and losing are both equal to 0.5, then the probability of 9 consecutive losses is equal to 0.5^9 , there are approximately 0.2% of chance of having such large losing streak, note however that under a ranging market such case scenario could happen, but we will see later that the length of a losing streak is not the only problem.
Other Problems
Having a capital large enough to tank 9any number of consecutive losses is not the only thing one should focus on, as we have to take into account market prices and trading dynamics, that's where the ugly part start.
Our first problem is frictional costs, one example being the spread, but this is a common problem for any strategy, however here a martingale is extra sensitive to it, if the strategy does not account for it then we will still double our positions costs but we might not recover all the losses of a losing streak, instead we would be recovering only a proportion of it, under such scenario you would be certain to lose over time.
Another problem are gaps, market price might open under a stop-loss without triggering it, and this is a big no-no.
Equity of the strategy on AMD, in a desired scenario the equity at the second arrow should have been at a higher position than the equity at the first arrow.
In order for the strategy to be more effective, we would need to trade a market that does not close, such as the cryptocurrency market. Finally, we might be affected by slippage, altho only extreme values might drastically affect our balance.
The Anti Martingale
The strategy lets you use an anti-martingale, which double the position size after a win instead of a loss, the goal here is not to recover from a losing strike but instead to profit from a potential winning streak.
Here we are exposing your balance to exponential gross but you might also lose a trade at the end a winning streak, you will generally want to reinitialize your position size after a few wins instead of waiting for the end of a streak.
Alternative
You can use other-kind of progressions for position sizing, such as a linear one, increasing your position size by a constant number each time you lose. More gentle progressions will recover a proportion of your losses in a losing streak.
You can also simulate the effect of a martingale without doubling your position size by doubling your target profit, if for example you have a 10$ profit-target/stop-loss and lose a trade, you can use a 20$ profit target to recover from the lost trade + gain a profit of 10$. While this approach does not introduce exponential decay in your balance, you are betting on the market reaching your take profits, considering the fact that you are doubling their size you are expecting market volatility to increase drastically over time, as such this approach would not be extremely effective for high losing streak.
Conclusion
You will see a lot of auto-trading strategies that are based on a grid approach, they might even use a martingale. While the backtests will look appealing, you should think twice before using such kind of strategy, remember that frictional costs will be a huge challenge for the strategy, and that it assumes that the trader has an important initial capital. We have also seen that the risk/reward ratio is theoretically the worst you can have on a strategy, having a low reward and a high risk. This does not mean that progressive position sizing is bad, but it should not be pushed to the extreme.
It is nice to note that the martingale is originally a betting system designed for casino games, which unlike trading are not subject to frictional costs, but even casino players don't use it, so why would you?
Thx for reading
A-Share Broad-Based ETF Dual-Core Timing System1. Strategy Overview
The "A-Share Broad-Based ETF Dual-Core Timing System" is a quantitative trading strategy tailored for the Chinese A-share market (specifically for broad-based ETFs like CSI 300, CSI 500, STAR 50). Recognizing the market's characteristic of "short bulls, long bears, and sharp bottoms," this strategy employs a "Left-Side Latency + Right-Side Full Position" dual-core driver. It aims to safely bottom-fish during the late stages of a bear market and maximize profits during the main ascending waves of a bull market.
2. Core Logic
A. Left-Side Latency (Rebound/Bottom Fishing)
Capital Allocation: Defaults to 50% position.
Philosophy: "Buy when others fear." Seeks opportunities in extreme panic or momentum divergence.
Entry Signals (Triggered by any of the following):
Extreme Panic: RSI Oversold (<30) + Price below Bollinger Lower Band + Bullish Candle Close (Avoid catching falling knives).
Oversold Bias: Price deviates more than 15% from the 60-day MA (Life Line), betting on mean reversion.
MACD Bullish Divergence: Price makes a new low while MACD histogram does not, accompanied by strengthening momentum.
B. Right-Side Full Position (Trend Following)
Capital Allocation: Aggressively scales up to Full Position (~99%) upon signal trigger.
Philosophy: "Follow the trend." Strike heavily once the trend is confirmed.
Entry Signals (All must be met):
Upward Trend: MACD Golden Cross + Price above 20-day MA.
Breakout Confirmation: CCI indicator breaks above 100, confirming a main ascending wave.
Volume Support: Volume MACD Golden Cross, ensuring price increase is backed by volume.
C. Smart Risk Control
Bear Market Exhaustion Exit: In a bearish trend (MA20 < MA60), the strategy does not "hold and hope." It immediately liquidates left-side positions upon signs of rebound exhaustion (breaking below MA20, touching MA60 resistance, or RSI failure).
ATR Trailing Stop: Uses Average True Range (ATR) to calculate a dynamic stop-profit line that rises with the price to lock in profits.
Hard Stop Loss: Forces a stop-loss if the left-side bottom fishing fails and losses exceed a set ATR multiple, preventing deep drawdowns.
3. Recommendations
Target Assets: High liquidity broad-based ETFs such as CSI 300 ETF (510300), CSI 500 ETF (510500), ChiNext ETF (159915), STAR 50 ETF (588000).
Timeframe: Daily Chart.
Wyckoff Method - Comprehensive Analysis# WYCKOFF METHOD - QUICK REFERENCE CHEAT SHEET
## 🟢 STRONGEST BUY SIGNALS
### 1. SPRING ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
- **What:** False breakdown below support on LOW volume
- **Look for:** Quick reversal, close above support
- **Entry:** When price closes back in range
- **Stop:** Below spring low
- **Target:** Top of range minimum
### 2. SOS (Sign of Strength) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- **What:** Breakout above resistance on HIGH volume
- **Look for:** Wide spread up bar, strong close
- **Entry:** On breakout or wait for LPS pullback
- **Stop:** Below range top
- **Target:** Height of range projected up
### 3. SHAKEOUT ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- **What:** Sharp move below support with HIGH volume, immediate reversal
- **Look for:** Long lower wick, closes strong
- **Entry:** When price reclaims support
- **Stop:** Below shakeout low
- **Target:** Previous resistance
---
## 🔴 STRONGEST SELL SIGNALS
### 1. UTAD (Upthrust After Distribution) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
- **What:** False breakout above resistance, quick rejection
- **Look for:** Spike high, weak close, often high volume
- **Entry:** When price closes back in range
- **Stop:** Above UTAD high
- **Target:** Bottom of range minimum
### 2. SOW (Sign of Weakness) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- **What:** Breakdown below support on HIGH volume
- **Look for:** Wide spread down bar, weak close
- **Entry:** On breakdown or wait for LPSY rally
- **Stop:** Above range bottom
- **Target:** Height of range projected down
### 3. UPTHRUST ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- **What:** Move above resistance on LOW volume, weak close
- **Look for:** Long upper wick, closes in lower half
- **Entry:** When resistance holds
- **Stop:** Above upthrust high
- **Target:** Support level
---
## 📊 ACCUMULATION PHASES (Bottom Formation)
```
PHASE A: Stopping the Downtrend
├─ PS (Preliminary Support) - First buying
├─ SC (Selling Climax) - Panic bottom ⚠️ KEY EVENT
├─ AR (Automatic Rally) - Relief bounce
└─ ST (Secondary Test) - Retest SC low
PHASE B: Building the Cause
├─ Trading range forms
├─ Multiple tests of support
├─ Volume decreasing
└─ Absorption occurring
PHASE C: The Test
├─ SPRING - False breakdown ⚠️ KEY EVENT
└─ TEST - Support holds on low volume
PHASE D: Dominance Emerges
├─ SOS - Breakout ⚠️ KEY EVENT
├─ LPS - Last Point of Support (pullback)
└─ BU - Backup
PHASE E: Markup
└─ New uptrend, strong momentum
```
**Background Color:** Blue → Green (getting brighter)
**Action:** Buy in Phase C/D, Hold through Phase E
---
## 📊 DISTRIBUTION PHASES (Top Formation)
```
PHASE A: Stopping the Uptrend
├─ PSY (Preliminary Supply) - First selling
├─ BC (Buying Climax) - Euphoric top ⚠️ KEY EVENT
├─ AR (Automatic Reaction) - Sharp drop
└─ ST (Secondary Test) - Retest BC high
PHASE B: Building the Cause
├─ Trading range forms
├─ Multiple tests of resistance
├─ Demand being absorbed
└─ Volume patterns change
PHASE C: The Test
└─ UTAD - False breakout ⚠️ KEY EVENT
PHASE D: Dominance Emerges
├─ SOW - Breakdown ⚠️ KEY EVENT
└─ LPSY - Last Point of Supply (rally to exit)
PHASE E: Markdown
└─ New downtrend, strong selling
```
**Background Color:** Orange → Red (getting darker)
**Action:** Sell in Phase C/D, Stay out during Phase E
---
## 💰 VOLUME SPREAD ANALYSIS (VSA)
| Signal | Meaning | Color | Implication |
|--------|---------|-------|-------------|
| **ND** (No Demand) | Up bar, LOW volume | 🟠 Orange | Weakness - uptrend ending |
| **NS** (No Supply) | Down bar, LOW volume | 🔵 Blue | Strength - downtrend ending |
| **SV** (Stopping Volume) | VERY HIGH volume, narrow spread | 🟣 Purple | Potential reversal |
| **UT** (Upthrust) | Above resistance, LOW vol, weak close | 🔴 Red | Sell signal |
| **SO** (Shakeout) | Below support, HIGH vol, strong close | 🟢 Green | Buy signal |
---
## 🎯 VOLUME INTERPRETATION
| Volume Level | Bar Color | Meaning |
|--------------|-----------|---------|
| **VERY HIGH** (>2x average) | Dark Green/Red | Climax, potential reversal |
| **HIGH** (>1.5x average) | Light Green/Red | Strong interest |
| **NORMAL** | Gray | Average trading |
| **LOW** (<0.7x average) | Faint Gray | Testing, no interest |
---
## ⚖️ EFFORT vs RESULT
| Scenario | Volume | Spread | Meaning |
|----------|--------|--------|---------|
| **High Effort, Low Result** | HIGH | Narrow | ⚠️ Potential reversal |
| **Low Effort, High Result** | LOW | Wide | ⚠️ Trend weakening |
| **High Effort, High Result** | HIGH | Wide | ✅ Strong trend |
| **Low Effort, Low Result** | LOW | Narrow | 😴 No interest |
---
## 📏 TRADING RULES
### ✅ DO:
- ✅ Wait for confirmation before entering
- ✅ Trade in direction of higher timeframe
- ✅ Use springs and UTAD as primary signals
- ✅ Measure trading range for targets
- ✅ Place stops outside the range
- ✅ Look for volume confirmation
- ✅ Check multiple timeframes
- ✅ Focus on Phase C and D events
### ❌ DON'T:
- ❌ Buy during Phase E Markdown
- ❌ Sell during Phase E Markup
- ❌ Trade against major trend
- ❌ Ignore volume signals
- ❌ Enter without clear stop loss
- ❌ Trade every signal
- ❌ Use on very low timeframes without practice
- ❌ Ignore the context
---
## 🎪 COMPOSITE OPERATOR (Smart Money)
### 💰 Green Money Symbol (Bottom)
- **Meaning:** Institutions accumulating
- **Location:** Demand zones, springs, tests
- **Action:** Follow the smart money - buy
### 💰 Red Money Symbol (Top)
- **Meaning:** Institutions distributing
- **Location:** Supply zones, UTAD, weak rallies
- **Action:** Follow the smart money - sell
---
## 📍 SUPPLY & DEMAND ZONES
### 🟢 Demand Zones (Green Boxes)
- **Created at:** SC, Spring, Shakeout
- **Represents:** Where smart money bought
- **Action:** Look for bounces
### 🔴 Supply Zones (Red Boxes)
- **Created at:** BC, UTAD, Upthrust
- **Represents:** Where smart money sold
- **Action:** Look for rejections
---
## 🎯 TARGET CALCULATION
### Measured Move Method
```
1. Measure trading range height
Example: Top at 120, Bottom at 100 = 20 points
2. Add to breakout point (accumulation)
Breakout at 120 + 20 = Target: 140
3. Or subtract from breakdown (distribution)
Breakdown at 100 - 20 = Target: 80
```
### Multiple Targets
- **Conservative:** 1x range height (100% probability reached)
- **Moderate:** 1.5x range height (70% probability)
- **Aggressive:** 2x range height (40% probability)
---
## ⏰ TIMEFRAME GUIDE
| Timeframe | Use For | Reliability | Recommended For |
|-----------|---------|-------------|-----------------|
| **Weekly** | Major trends | ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Position traders |
| **Daily** | Swing trades | ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Most traders |
| **4-Hour** | Active swing | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Active traders |
| **1-Hour** | Day trading | ⭐⭐⭐ | Experienced only |
| **15-Min** | Scalping | ⭐⭐ | Experts only |
**Golden Rule:** Always check one timeframe higher for context!
---
## 🚨 ALERT PRIORITY
### 🔔 MUST-HAVE ALERTS
1. Spring
2. UTAD
3. SOS
4. SOW
### 🔔 NICE-TO-HAVE ALERTS
5. Selling Climax (SC)
6. Buying Climax (BC)
7. Smart Money Accumulation
8. Smart Money Distribution
### 🔔 CONFIRMATION ALERTS
9. Phase E Markup
10. Phase E Markdown
---
## 💡 QUICK DECISION TREE
```
Is there a clear trading range?
├─ YES
│ ├─ Did price break BELOW support?
│ │ ├─ Volume LOW + Quick reversal = SPRING → BUY ✅
│ │ └─ Volume HIGH + Stays down = Breakdown → SELL ⚠️
│ │
│ └─ Did price break ABOVE resistance?
│ ├─ Volume LOW + Quick reversal = UTAD → SELL ✅
│ └─ Volume HIGH + Stays up = Breakout → BUY ⚠️
│
└─ NO
├─ Strong uptrend = Wait for re-accumulation
└─ Strong downtrend = Wait for re-distribution
```
---
## 📝 PRE-TRADE CHECKLIST
Before entering any trade:
- Identified the current Wyckoff phase
- Confirmed with volume analysis
- Checked higher timeframe trend
- Located supply/demand zones
- Identified clear entry point
- Set stop loss level
- Calculated target (risk:reward >1:2)
- Verified position size (risk 1-2%)
- Have at least 2 confirming signals
- Not trading against major trend
---
## 🧠 REMEMBER
**The Three Laws:**
1. **Supply & Demand** - Price is determined by imbalance
2. **Cause & Effect** - Range size predicts move size
3. **Effort & Result** - Volume should confirm price movement
**The Key Principle:**
> "Trade with the Composite Operator (smart money), not against them"
**Best Setups:**
1. Spring in accumulation (Phase C)
2. UTAD in distribution (Phase C)
3. SOS breakout (Phase D)
4. SOW breakdown (Phase D)
**When in Doubt:**
- ❓ Stay out
- 📈 Use higher timeframe
- 📚 Review the documentation
- 🎯 Wait for clearer signal
---
## 📱 INDICATOR SETTINGS QUICK SETUP
**For Stocks/Crypto (Good Volume Data):**
- Volume MA Length: 20
- High Volume Multiplier: 1.5
- Climax Volume: 2.0
- Swing Length: 5
**For Forex (Limited Volume Data):**
- Volume MA Length: 20
- High Volume Multiplier: 1.3
- Climax Volume: 1.8
- Swing Length: 7
- Turn OFF "Volume Confirmation"
**For Day Trading:**
- Swing Length: 3
- All other settings: Default
**For Position Trading:**
- Swing Length: 7-10
- Volume MA Length: 30
- Use Daily/Weekly charts
---
## 🎓 SKILL PROGRESSION
### Beginner (Month 1-2)
- Focus on: SC, Spring, SOS
- Timeframe: Daily only
- Goal: Identify phases correctly
### Intermediate (Month 3-6)
- Add: All accumulation events
- Timeframe: Daily + 4H
- Goal: Trade springs profitably
### Advanced (Month 6-12)
- Add: Distribution events, VSA
- Timeframe: Multiple timeframes
- Goal: Trade complete cycles
### Expert (Year 2+)
- Master: All events, all timeframes
- Combine: With other methodologies
- Goal: Consistent profitability
---
**Print this sheet and keep it next to your trading desk!**
*Remember: Quality over quantity. Wait for the best setups.*
# Wyckoff Method - Comprehensive Analysis Indicator
## Complete Implementation Guide for TradingView Pine Script
---
## TABLE OF CONTENTS
1. (#overview)
2. (#installation)
3. (#theory)
4. (#components)
5. (#signals)
6. (#strategies)
7. (#settings)
8. (#alerts)
9. (#patterns)
10. (#troubleshooting)
---
## OVERVIEW
This indicator implements Richard Wyckoff's complete trading methodology, including:
- **All 5 Phases** of Accumulation and Distribution
- **18+ Wyckoff Events** (PS, SC, AR, ST, Spring, SOS, LPS, BC, UTAD, SOW, etc.)
- **Volume Spread Analysis (VSA)** principles
- **Supply & Demand Zone** detection
- **Composite Operator** logic (Smart Money tracking)
- **Effort vs Result** analysis
- **Three Wyckoff Laws**: Supply/Demand, Cause/Effect, Effort/Result
---
## INSTALLATION
### Step 1: Copy the Code
1. Open the `wyckoff_comprehensive.pine` file
2. Select all code (Ctrl+A / Cmd+A)
3. Copy to clipboard (Ctrl+C / Cmd+C)
### Step 2: Add to TradingView
1. Go to TradingView.com
2. Open any chart
3. Click "Pine Editor" at the bottom of the screen
4. Click "New" or "Open"
5. Paste the entire code
6. Click "Save" and give it a name
7. Click "Add to Chart"
### Step 3: Verify Installation
You should see:
- Labels on the chart (PS, SC, Spring, SOS, etc.)
- Background colors indicating phases
- Volume analysis in the lower pane
- A table in the top-right corner showing current phase
---
## WYCKOFF METHOD THEORY
### The Three Fundamental Laws
#### 1. **Law of Supply and Demand**
- Price rises when demand exceeds supply
- Price falls when supply exceeds demand
- The indicator tracks volume vs price movement to identify imbalances
#### 2. **Law of Cause and Effect**
- A period of accumulation (cause) leads to markup (effect)
- A period of distribution (cause) leads to markdown (effect)
- Trading ranges build "cause" for future price movement
#### 3. **Law of Effort vs Result**
- **Effort** = Volume (energy put into the market)
- **Result** = Price movement (spread of the bar)
- High effort with low result = potential reversal
- Low effort with high result = trend weakness
### The Five Phases
#### **ACCUMULATION CYCLE**
**Phase A: Stopping the Downtrend**
- Preliminary Support (PS): First sign of buying
- Selling Climax (SC): Panic selling exhaustion
- Automatic Rally (AR): Bounce from SC
- Secondary Test (ST): Test of SC low on lower volume
**Phase B: Building the Cause**
- Trading range develops
- Supply being absorbed by composite operator
- Multiple tests of support and resistance
- Volume generally decreases
**Phase C: The Test (Spring)**
- False breakdown below support
- Traps late sellers
- Quick reversal on low volume
- Last chance to accumulate before markup
**Phase D: Dominance Emerges**
- Sign of Strength (SOS): Break above resistance
- Last Point of Support (LPS): Pullback opportunity
- Backup (BU): Final consolidation
- Demand clearly exceeds supply
**Phase E: Markup**
- New uptrend established
- Price moves rapidly higher
- Phase E can last months/years
- Original trading range becomes support
#### **DISTRIBUTION CYCLE**
**Phase A: Stopping the Uptrend**
- Preliminary Supply (PSY): First sign of selling
- Buying Climax (BC): Euphoric buying exhaustion
- Automatic Reaction (AR): Sharp selloff from BC
- Secondary Test (ST): Test of BC high on lower volume
**Phase B: Building the Cause**
- Trading range at top
- Demand being absorbed by composite operator
- Multiple tests of support and resistance
**Phase C: The Test (UTAD)**
- Upthrust After Distribution
- False breakout above resistance
- Traps late buyers
- Quick reversal
**Phase D: Dominance Emerges**
- Sign of Weakness (SOW): Break below support
- Last Point of Supply (LPSY): Rally opportunity to exit
- Supply clearly exceeds demand
**Phase E: Markdown**
- New downtrend established
- Price moves rapidly lower
- Original trading range becomes resistance
---
## INDICATOR COMPONENTS
### 1. EVENT LABELS
#### Accumulation Events (Green labels)
- **PS** = Preliminary Support
- **SC** = Selling Climax (largest label, most important)
- **AR** = Automatic Rally
- **ST** = Secondary Test
- **SPRING** = Spring (critical buy signal)
- **TEST** = Test of support
- **SOS** = Sign of Strength (breakout)
- **LPS** = Last Point of Support
- **BU** = Backup
#### Distribution Events (Red labels)
- **PSY** = Preliminary Supply
- **BC** = Buying Climax (largest label, most important)
- **AR** = Automatic Reaction
- **ST** = Secondary Test
- **UTAD** = Upthrust After Distribution (critical sell signal)
- **SOW** = Sign of Weakness
- **LPSY** = Last Point of Supply
#### VSA Events (Small colored labels)
- **ND** (Orange) = No Demand - weakness
- **NS** (Blue) = No Supply - strength
- **SV** (Purple) = Stopping Volume
- **UT** (Red) = Upthrust - weakness
- **SO** (Green) = Shakeout - strength
#### Composite Operator (💰 symbols)
- Green 💰 at bottom = Smart Money Accumulation
- Red 💰 at top = Smart Money Distribution
### 2. BACKGROUND COLORS
- **Light Blue** = Phase A (Accumulation)
- **Light Orange** = Phase A (Distribution)
- **Very Light Green** = Phase C (Accumulation Testing)
- **Very Light Red** = Phase C (Distribution Testing)
- **Light Green** = Phase D (Accumulation Strength)
- **Light Red** = Phase D (Distribution Weakness)
- **Green** = Phase E (Markup - Bull trend)
- **Red** = Phase E (Markdown - Bear trend)
### 3. SUPPLY & DEMAND ZONES
- **Green boxes** = Demand zones (where smart money accumulated)
- **Red boxes** = Supply zones (where smart money distributed)
- Zones extend 20 bars into the future
- Price reactions at these zones are significant
### 4. VOLUME PANEL
- **Dark Green/Red bars** = Very High Volume (climax)
- **Light Green/Red bars** = High Volume
- **Gray bars** = Normal Volume
- **Faint Gray bars** = Low Volume
- **Blue line** = Volume Moving Average
### 5. INFORMATION TABLE (Top Right)
Displays real-time analysis:
- **Current Phase** (A, B, C, D, or E)
- **Status** (description of what's happening)
- **Volume** (Very High, High, Normal, Low)
- **Spread** (Wide, Normal, Narrow)
- **Effort/Result** (Poor, Normal, Good)
- **Range** (YES if in trading range)
- **Bias** (BULLISH, BEARISH, or NEUTRAL)
---
## HOW TO READ THE SIGNALS
### STRONG BUY SIGNALS (in order of strength)
1. **SPRING** (strongest)
- False breakdown below support
- Look for: Low volume, quick reversal, close above support
- Entry: When price closes back above support level
- Stop: Below the spring low
2. **SOS (Sign of Strength)**
- Break above trading range resistance
- Look for: High volume, wide spread up bar
- Entry: On breakout or pullback to LPS
- Stop: Below trading range
3. **Shakeout (SO)**
- Similar to spring but more violent
- Look for: High volume, penetration of support, strong close
- Entry: When price reclaims support
- Stop: Below shakeout low
4. **LPS (Last Point of Support)**
- Pullback after SOS
- Look for: Low volume, shallow pullback
- Entry: When support holds
- Stop: Below LPS
5. **No Supply (NS)**
- Down bar on very low volume
- Indicates lack of selling pressure
- Confirms accumulation phase
### STRONG SELL SIGNALS (in order of strength)
1. **UTAD (Upthrust After Distribution)** (strongest)
- False breakout above resistance
- Look for: High volume spike, rejection, close below resistance
- Entry: When price closes back below resistance
- Stop: Above UTAD high
2. **SOW (Sign of Weakness)**
- Break below trading range support
- Look for: High volume, wide spread down bar
- Entry: On breakdown or rally to LPSY
- Stop: Above trading range
3. **Upthrust (UT)**
- Move above resistance on low volume, weak close
- Look for: Low volume, close in lower half of bar
- Entry: When resistance becomes resistance again
- Stop: Above upthrust high
4. **LPSY (Last Point of Supply)**
- Rally after SOW
- Look for: Low volume, weak rally
- Entry: When rally fails
- Stop: Above LPSY
5. **No Demand (ND)**
- Up bar on very low volume
- Indicates lack of buying pressure
- Confirms distribution phase
### NEUTRAL/WARNING SIGNALS
- **High Effort, Low Result** = Potential reversal coming
- **Stopping Volume** = Trend may be ending
- **Absorption** = Large volume with small movement (accumulation/distribution)
---
## TRADING STRATEGY EXAMPLES
### Strategy 1: Accumulation Range Breakout
**Setup:**
1. Identify trading range (blue background in Phase B)
2. Wait for Spring or Test (Phase C)
3. Wait for SOS breakout (Phase D)
**Entry:**
- Option A: Buy on SOS breakout
- Option B: Wait for LPS pullback (better risk/reward)
**Stop Loss:**
- Below the spring low or trading range bottom
**Target:**
- Measure height of trading range (cause)
- Project upward from breakout point (effect)
- Minimum target = range height
**Example:**
```
Trading Range: 100 to 120 (20 point range)
SOS Breakout at: 120
Target: 120 + 20 = 140 minimum
```
### Strategy 2: Distribution Range Breakdown
**Setup:**
1. Identify trading range after uptrend
2. Wait for UTAD (Phase C)
3. Wait for SOW breakdown (Phase D)
**Entry:**
- Option A: Sell on SOW breakdown
- Option B: Wait for LPSY rally (better risk/reward)
**Stop Loss:**
- Above the UTAD high or trading range top
**Target:**
- Measure height of trading range
- Project downward from breakdown point
- Minimum target = range height
### Strategy 3: Spring Trading
**Setup:**
1. Strong downtrend followed by range
2. Price breaks below range bottom
3. Volume is LOW on breakdown
4. Price quickly reverses and closes above support
**Entry:**
- When candle closes above support level
- Or on retest of support
**Stop Loss:**
- Below spring low (usually tight)
**Target:**
- Top of trading range
- Previous swing high
**Risk/Reward:**
- Typically 1:3 or better
### Strategy 4: Smart Money Tracking
**Setup:**
1. Look for 💰 symbols in demand zones
2. Multiple accumulation signals (PS, SC, ST, Test)
3. Volume decreasing during range
**Entry:**
- At next demand zone test
- On SOS breakout
**Confirmation:**
- Background turning green (Phase D/E)
- Table shows "BULLISH" bias
### Strategy 5: VSA Reversal
**Setup:**
1. Strong trend in place
2. Stopping Volume (SV) appears at extreme
3. Followed by No Demand (ND) or No Supply (NS)
**Entry:**
- When trend breaks down/up
- On retest of extreme
**Example (Bullish):**
```
Downtrend → Stopping Volume → No Supply → Up bar
Entry: Buy when price moves above SV bar
```
---
## SETTINGS & CUSTOMIZATION
### Volume Analysis Settings
**Volume MA Length** (default: 20)
- Shorter = More sensitive to volume changes
- Longer = Smoother, less noise
- Recommended: 15-25 for most timeframes
**High Volume Multiplier** (default: 1.5)
- Threshold for "high volume"
- Lower = More signals
- Higher = Only extreme volume
- Recommended: 1.3-2.0
**Climax Volume Multiplier** (default: 2.0)
- Threshold for climax events (SC, BC)
- Should be significantly higher than normal
- Recommended: 2.0-3.0
### Phase Detection Settings
**Swing Detection Length** (default: 5)
- How many bars to look left/right for swing points
- Shorter = More swings detected (more noise)
- Longer = Fewer swings (cleaner, might miss some)
- Recommended: 3-7
**Range Expansion Threshold** (default: 1.5)
- Multiplier for "wide spread" bars
- Higher = Only very wide bars qualify
- Recommended: 1.3-2.0
**Volume Confirmation** (default: ON)
- Requires volume confirmation for events
- Turn OFF for very low volume instruments
- Keep ON for stocks, forex, crypto
### Display Options
Toggle on/off:
- ✅ **Show Accumulation/Distribution Phases** - Background colors
- ✅ **Show Wyckoff Events** - All labeled events
- ✅ **Show Volume Spread Analysis** - VSA labels
- ✅ **Show Supply/Demand Zones** - Boxes on chart
- ✅ **Show Composite Operator Signals** - 💰 symbols
### Color Customization
- **Bullish Color** - All accumulation events
- **Bearish Color** - All distribution events
- **Neutral Color** - Range/neutral signals
---
## ALERT SETUP
### Available Alerts
1. **Selling Climax (SC)** - Potential bottom forming
2. **Spring** - Strong buy signal
3. **Sign of Strength (SOS)** - Bullish breakout
4. **Buying Climax (BC)** - Potential top forming
5. **UTAD** - Strong sell signal
6. **Sign of Weakness (SOW)** - Bearish breakdown
7. **Phase E Markup** - Uptrend confirmed
8. **Phase E Markdown** - Downtrend confirmed
9. **Smart Money Accumulation** - Institutions buying
10. **Smart Money Distribution** - Institutions selling
### How to Set Up Alerts
1. Click the "⏰" icon on TradingView
2. Select "Create Alert"
3. Condition: Choose the indicator and alert type
4. Example: "Wyckoff Method - Spring"
5. Set notification preferences (popup, email, webhook)
6. Click "Create"
### Recommended Alert Strategy
**Conservative Trader:**
- Spring
- SOS
- UTAD
- SOW
**Aggressive Trader:**
- Add: SC, BC, Smart Money signals
**Long-term Investor:**
- Phase E Markup
- Phase E Markdown
- Smart Money Accumulation
---
## COMMON PATTERNS
### Pattern 1: Classic Accumulation
```
Phase A: Downtrend → PS → SC → AR → ST
Phase B: Range building (4-12 weeks typical)
Phase C: Spring (false breakdown)
Phase D: SOS → LPS → BU
Phase E: Markup (new uptrend)
```
**What to do:**
- Mark the range boundaries
- Wait for spring
- Buy on LPS or SOS
- Hold through markup
### Pattern 2: Classic Distribution
```
Phase A: Uptrend → PSY → BC → AR → ST
Phase B: Range building (topping process)
Phase C: UTAD (false breakout)
Phase D: SOW → LPSY
Phase E: Markdown (new downtrend)
```
**What to do:**
- Mark the range boundaries
- Wait for UTAD
- Sell on LPSY or SOW
- Stay out during markdown
### Pattern 3: Re-Accumulation
```
Uptrend → Trading Range → Spring → Uptrend continues
```
- Occurs during existing uptrend
- Shorter accumulation period
- Often no clear SC (trend is already up)
- Spring is the key signal
### Pattern 4: Re-Distribution
```
Downtrend → Trading Range → UTAD → Downtrend continues
```
- Occurs during existing downtrend
- Shorter distribution period
- Often no clear BC (trend is already down)
- UTAD is the key signal
### Pattern 5: Failed Breakout
**Bullish Failed Breakout:**
```
Range → Breakdown → Immediate reversal (Spring)
```
- Price breaks support
- Volume is LOW
- Immediate strong reversal
- Very bullish
**Bearish Failed Breakout:**
```
Range → Breakout → Immediate reversal (UTAD)
```
- Price breaks resistance
- Volume may be high initially
- Quick rejection and reversal
- Very bearish
---
## TIMEFRAME RECOMMENDATIONS
### Daily Charts (Most Reliable)
- Best for swing trading
- Clear phases and events
- Less noise
- Recommended for beginners
### 4-Hour Charts
- Good for active swing traders
- Faster signals than daily
- Still reliable
### 1-Hour Charts
- For day traders
- More false signals
- Need to filter carefully
- Use in conjunction with higher timeframe
### 15-Minute / 5-Minute
- Only for experienced traders
- High noise level
- Many false signals
- Use daily chart for context
**Golden Rule:** Always check higher timeframe first!
---
## MULTI-TIMEFRAME ANALYSIS
### Top-Down Approach (Recommended)
1. **Weekly Chart** - Identify major trend and phase
2. **Daily Chart** - Find current accumulation/distribution
3. **4H Chart** - Identify entry timing
4. **Entry Timeframe** - Execute trade
### Example Analysis:
**Weekly:** Phase E Markup (bullish)
**Daily:** Phase B Re-accumulation
**4-Hour:** Spring detected
**Action:** Buy on daily LPS
---
## WYCKOFF + OTHER INDICATORS
### Complementary Tools
1. **Moving Averages**
- 20/50 SMA for trend context
- Already plotted on indicator
2. **RSI**
- Divergences at SC/BC
- Confirms overbought/oversold
3. **MACD**
- Confirms trend change in Phase D
- Divergences support Wyckoff events
4. **Volume Profile**
- Identifies value areas
- Confirms supply/demand zones
5. **Order Flow / Footprint Charts**
- See institutional activity
- Confirms smart money signals
**Don't Over-Complicate:**
- Wyckoff is a complete system
- Other indicators are supplementary
- When in doubt, trust Wyckoff
---
## TROUBLESHOOTING
### Issue: Too Many Labels
**Solution:**
- Increase swing length (Settings → 7 or 10)
- Increase volume multipliers
- Turn off VSA labels if not needed
- Focus on major events only (SC, Spring, SOS, BC, UTAD, SOW)
### Issue: Missing Expected Events
**Solution:**
- Decrease swing length (Settings → 3)
- Decrease volume multipliers
- Turn OFF volume confirmation
- Check timeframe (use daily chart)
### Issue: False Signals
**Solution:**
- Use higher timeframe
- Wait for confirmation
- Don't trade against major trend
- Look for multiple signal convergence
### Issue: Can't See Background Colors
**Solution:**
- Check "Show Phases" is enabled
- Increase monitor brightness
- Colors are subtle by design (not to obscure price)
### Issue: Volume Shows Incorrectly
**Solution:**
- Ensure volume data is available for your symbol
- Some symbols have poor volume data
- Forex spot pairs have no real volume
- Use futures or stock markets for best results
### Issue: No Trading Range Detected
**Solution:**
- Market may be trending strongly
- Trading range might be too small
- Wait for price to consolidate
- Not all markets have clear ranges
---
## ADVANCED TIPS
### 1. Count Point & Figure Charts
- Wyckoff used P&F to measure "cause"
- Width of range × height = minimum move target
- Longer accumulation = larger markup
### 2. Watch for Absorption
- High volume + narrow spread = someone absorbing
- In downtrend = accumulation
- In uptrend = distribution
### 3. Multiple Timeframe Springs
- Spring on daily + spring on weekly = very strong
- Increases probability significantly
### 4. Failed Signals Are Signals Too
- Failed spring = weakness, expect lower
- Failed UTAD = strength, expect higher
### 5. Context is King
- Don't buy during Phase E Markdown
- Don't sell during Phase E Markup
- Respect the major trend
### 6. Volume Precedes Price
- Study volume changes first
- Price follows volume
- Decreasing volume in range = building energy
### 7. Composite Operator Mindset
- Think like institutions
- Where would smart money buy/sell?
- They need liquidity (retail traders)
---
## RISK MANAGEMENT
### Position Sizing
**Conservative:**
- Risk 1% per trade
- Wider stops at range boundaries
**Moderate:**
- Risk 1-2% per trade
- Stops below spring/above UTAD
**Aggressive:**
- Risk 2-3% per trade
- Tight stops
- Higher win rate needed
### Stop Loss Placement
**Accumulation:**
- Below spring low
- Below trading range bottom
- Below demand zone
**Distribution:**
- Above UTAD high
- Above trading range top
- Above supply zone
### Take Profit Strategy
**Method 1: Measured Move**
- Range height = minimum target
- 2x range height = extended target
**Method 2: Fibonacci Extensions**
- 1.0 = range height
- 1.618 = extended target
- 2.618 = maximum target
**Method 3: Trail the Stop**
- Move stop to breakeven at 1R
- Trail under swing lows in markup
- Lock in profits progressively
---
## BACKTESTING CHECKLIST
Before trading with real money:
- Backtest on 50+ historical examples
- Record all signals in trading journal
- Calculate win rate (aim for >50%)
- Calculate average R:R (aim for >1:2)
- Test on multiple instruments
- Test on multiple timeframes
- Test in different market conditions
- Verify signal consistency
- Practice on demo account
- Start small with real money
---
## RECOMMENDED READING
### Books
1. **"Studies in Tape Reading"** - Richard D. Wyckoff
2. **"The Richard D. Wyckoff Method"** - Rubén Villahermosa
3. **"Charting the Stock Market: The Wyckoff Method"** - Jack Hutson
4. **"Master the Markets"** - Tom Williams (VSA)
### Courses
1. Wyckoff Analytics - Official Wyckoff course
2. TradeVSA - Volume Spread Analysis
3. StockCharts - Wyckoff education
### Communities
1. Wyckoff Analytics Forum
2. Reddit r/Wyckoff
3. TradingView Wyckoff ideas section
---
## FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS
**Q: Can I use this on crypto?**
A: Yes, works well on major cryptocurrencies with good volume.
**Q: Does it work on forex?**
A: Yes, but use futures volume (like 6E for EUR/USD) for better accuracy.
**Q: What's the best timeframe?**
A: Daily chart for most traders. 4H for more active trading.
**Q: How long does accumulation last?**
A: Typically 2-12 weeks. Longer accumulation = bigger markup.
**Q: Can I automate this?**
A: You can use the alerts, but manual analysis is recommended.
**Q: What's the win rate?**
A: With proper filtering: 60-70% on major signals (Spring, UTAD, SOS, SOW).
**Q: Should I trade every signal?**
A: No. Focus on Spring, UTAD, SOS, and SOW in trending markets.
**Q: What if I see conflicting signals?**
A: Use higher timeframe for context. When in doubt, stay out.
**Q: How do I know which phase I'm in?**
A: Check the table in top-right corner. Also look at background color.
**Q: Can I use this for options trading?**
A: Yes, excellent for timing option entries (especially around Spring/UTAD).
---
## FINAL THOUGHTS
The Wyckoff Method is:
- **A complete trading system** (not just an indicator)
- **Based on 100+ years** of market wisdom
- **Used by institutions** and professional traders
- **Requires practice** and screen time
- **Highly effective** when applied correctly
**Success Tips:**
1. Start with daily charts
2. Focus on major events (SC, Spring, SOS, BC, UTAD, SOW)
3. Always check higher timeframe context
4. Wait for confirmation before entering
5. Manage risk properly
6. Keep a trading journal
7. Be patient - wait for the best setups
**Remember:**
- Not every range will have all events
- Some phases may be abbreviated
- Context and confluence matter most
- Practice makes perfect
---
## SUPPORT & UPDATES
For questions, improvements, or bug reports:
- Check TradingView script comments
- Join Wyckoff trading communities
- Study historical examples
- Practice on demo accounts
**Good luck and happy trading!**
---
*Disclaimer: This indicator is for educational purposes. Always do your own analysis and risk management. Past performance does not guarantee future results.*
# WYCKOFF VISUAL SETUP EXAMPLES
## ACCUMULATION SCHEMATIC #1 (Classic Bottom)
```
Price Chart View:
│ PHASE E
│ MARKUP
│ ╱
│ ╱
┌─SOS─────┤ ╱
│ │ ╱
┌───────────┤ ┌LPS │╱
│ PHASE B │ │ │
│ (Cause) └──┴──────┤
┌AR──┤ │
┌────┤ │ ┌─Spring │ PHASE D
│ └ST──┤ │ │
│ │ │ │
────SC────────┴─────────┴───────────┴──────────
│
PS
│ PHASE A
│
Downtrend
```
### PHASE A - Stopping the Downtrend
```
PS: │ High volume down bar
▼ First sign of support
■ Not bottom yet
SC: │ VERY HIGH volume
▼ Panic selling exhaustion
█ Long lower wick
█ This is the low
AR: │ Automatic rally
▲ Relief bounce
■ High volume acceptable
ST: │ Secondary test
▼ Low volume (KEY!)
■ Tests SC low
```
### PHASE B - Building the Cause
```
┌─────────┐
│ ~~~ │ Multiple tests
│ ~ ~ │ Volume decreases
│~ ~ │ Range gets tighter
└─────────┘
Duration: 2-12 weeks typical
The longer, the bigger the eventual move
```
### PHASE C - The Test (SPRING)
```
║ False breakdown
─────╨─────
▼ Low volume
█ Breaks below support
■
█ Quick reversal
▲ Closes ABOVE support
CRITICAL: Volume must be LOW
Close must be strong
Happens quickly (1-3 bars)
```
### PHASE D - Strength Emerges
```
SOS: ▲ Sign of Strength
────╥──── Break above resistance
║ High volume
║ Wide spread
LPS: ▼ Last Point Support
■ Pullback on LOW volume
▲ Great entry point
BU: ▲ Backup
■ Final consolidation
▲ Before markup
```
### PHASE E - Markup
```
╱
╱
╱ Strong uptrend
╱ High momentum
╱ Can last months/years
──╱──
```
---
## DISTRIBUTION SCHEMATIC #2 (Classic Top)
```
Price Chart View:
Uptrend
│
PSY
│ PHASE A
────BC────────┬─────────┬───────────┬──────────
│ │ UTAD │
│ PHASE B │ │ PHASE D
┌AR──┤ ┌LPSY │ │
│ │ │ └───────────┤
│ └──┴──────┐ │╲
└ST──┤ │ │ ╲
│ └───────────┤ ╲
└─SOW─────┤ │ ╲
│ │ ╲
│ PHASE C │ ╲
│ │ PHASE E
│ │ MARKDOWN
```
### PHASE A - Stopping the Uptrend
```
PSY: │ High volume up bar
▲ Preliminary supply
■ Selling starting
BC: │ VERY HIGH volume
▲ Buying climax
█ Euphoric top
█ Long upper wick
AR: │ Automatic reaction
▼ Sharp selloff
■ High volume
ST: │ Secondary test
▲ Low volume (KEY!)
■ Tests BC high
```
### PHASE C - The Test (UTAD)
```
▲ False breakout
────╥────
║ Breaks ABOVE resistance
║ Often high volume spike
▼
█ Rejection / weak close
█ Closes BELOW resistance
▼
CRITICAL: Closes weak
Quick rejection
Traps buyers
```
### PHASE D - Weakness Emerges
```
SOW: ▼ Sign of Weakness
────╨──── Break below support
║ High volume
║ Wide spread
LPSY: ▲ Last Point Supply
■ Rally on LOW volume
▼ Last chance to exit
```
---
## VOLUME PATTERNS (Critical to Understanding)
### ACCUMULATION Volume Pattern
```
Volume
│ SC
█
█ ST
■ ■ Spring
■ ■ ■ SOS LPS
──┴────┴────┴──────█───■────►
│ │ │ │ │
│ │ │ │ │
A A C D D
Pattern: HIGH → low → low → HIGH → low
Key: Volume DECREASES during range
INCREASES on breakout
```
### DISTRIBUTION Volume Pattern
```
Volume
│ BC
█
█ ST
■ ■ UTAD
■ ■ ■ SOW LPSY
──┴────┴────┴──────█───■────►
│ │ │ │ │
│ │ │ │ │
A A C D D
Pattern: HIGH → low → varies → HIGH → low
Key: Volume MAY increase on UTAD
Definitely HIGH on breakdown (SOW)
```
---
## REAL TRADE SETUPS
### Setup #1: SPRING BUY
```
Entry Conditions:
1. Clear trading range identified
2. Price breaks BELOW support
3. Volume is LOW (critical!)
4. Price reverses QUICKLY
5. Closes ABOVE support level
Entry: Next bar or on retest
Stop: Below spring low
Target: Top of range (minimum)
Example:
Support: $100
Spring low: $98 (low volume)
Close: $101
Entry: $102
Stop: $97.50
Target: $120 (range top)
Risk/Reward: 1:4
```
### Setup #2: UTAD SELL
```
Entry Conditions:
1. Clear trading range identified (after uptrend)
2. Price breaks ABOVE resistance
3. Often high volume spike
4. Price reverses QUICKLY
5. Closes BELOW resistance level
Entry: Next bar or on retest
Stop: Above UTAD high
Target: Bottom of range (minimum)
Example:
Resistance: $200
UTAD high: $205 (spike)
Close: $198
Entry: $197
Stop: $206
Target: $180 (range bottom)
Risk/Reward: 1:2
```
### Setup #3: SOS BREAKOUT
```
Entry Conditions:
1. Clear accumulation range
2. Spring already occurred (ideal)
3. Price breaks ABOVE resistance
4. HIGH volume on breakout
5. Wide spread up bar
Entry Option A: On breakout ($120)
Entry Option B: Wait for LPS pullback ($115)
Stop: Below range or LPS
Target: Range height projected up
Example:
Range: $100-$120 (20 points)
SOS breakout: $120
Entry A: $120
Stop: $115
Target 1: $140 (100%)
Target 2: $150 (150%)
```
---
## VSA SPECIFIC PATTERNS
### Pattern 1: No Demand (Weakness)
```
▲
■ Up bar
■ Low volume ◄── KEY
▲ Small body
Context: After uptrend
Meaning: Buyers exhausted
Action: Prepare to sell
```
### Pattern 2: No Supply (Strength)
```
▼
■ Down bar
■ Low volume ◄── KEY
▼ Small body
Context: After downtrend
Meaning: Sellers exhausted
Action: Prepare to buy
```
### Pattern 3: Stopping Volume
```
═ Very high volume
█ Narrow spread ◄── KEY
═ Price not moving
Context: At extremes
Meaning: Absorption
Action: Expect reversal
```
---
## COMMON MISTAKES (What NOT to Do)
### ❌ Mistake 1: Buying Prematurely
```
WRONG:
SC
▼
█ ← DON'T BUY HERE
CORRECT:
Spring
─────╨─────
▼
█ ← BUY HERE
▲
```
### ❌ Mistake 2: Ignoring Volume
```
WRONG: "It broke below support, must be spring"
─────╨───── High volume
█
This is a BREAKDOWN, not a spring!
CORRECT Spring:
─────╨───── LOW volume ✓
■ Quick reversal ✓
▲
```
### ❌ Mistake 3: Trading Against Trend
```
WRONG:
Markdown Phase E
╲
╲ ← Trying to buy here
╲
╲
CORRECT:
Wait for new accumulation to complete
```
---
## MULTI-TIMEFRAME EXAMPLE
### Weekly Chart: Phase E Markup (Bullish)
```
╱
╱
╱ Long-term uptrend
╱
───╱─────
```
### Daily Chart: Re-Accumulation Phase C
```
┌─────────┐
│ Spring │ ← We are here
│ ▼ │
─────┴────█────┴─────
▲
```
### 4-Hour Chart: Entry Timing
```
Last 48 hours:
─────╨───── Spring occurred
█
▲ ← Enter now
■
```
**Result:** Triple confirmation across timeframes = High probability trade
---
## PROFIT TARGETS (Visual Guide)
### Method 1: Basic Measured Move
```
Resistance: 120 ┐ ─────────
│
│ 20 points
│
Support: 100 ┘ ─────────
Breakout: 120
Target: 120 + 20 = 140
╱╱╱ 140 (Target)
╱╱╱
╱╱╱
──────◄ 120 (Breakout)
│
Range │ 20
│
──────┘ 100
```
### Method 2: Multiple Targets
```
╱╱╱ 150 (Target 3: 2.5x) - 20% position
╱╱╱
╱╱╱ 140 (Target 2: 2x) - 30% position
╱╱╱
─────◄╱ 130 (Target 1: 1x) - 50% position
│
10 │ 120 (Breakout)
│
─────┘ 110 (Support)
```
### Method 3: Trailing Stop
```
1. Move stop to breakeven at Target 1
2. Trail stop under swing lows
3. Let winners run
╱╱╱
╱ ╱╱ ← Trail stop here
╱╱ ╱
╱ ╱ ← Then here
─────◄──╱
← Start here (breakeven)
```
---
## TIMING ENTRIES (Exact Bar Patterns)
### Perfect Spring Entry
```
Bar 1: ▼ Breaks below (Low vol)
█
Bar 2: ▲ Reverses (Closes strong)
█ ◄─ ENTER HERE
Bar 3: ■ Confirms
▲
DON'T WAIT for Bar 3!
Enter on Bar 2 close
```
### Perfect UTAD Entry
```
Bar 1: ▲ Breaks above (Spike vol OK)
█
Bar 2: ▼ Reverses (Closes weak)
█ ◄─ ENTER HERE
Bar 3: ■ Confirms
▼
SHORT on Bar 2 close
Don't wait for more confirmation
```
---
## COMPOSITE OPERATOR PSYCHOLOGY
### What Smart Money Does (Follow Them)
**Accumulation:**
```
1. Create fear (PS, SC)
2. Shake out weak hands (Spring)
3. Absorb supply quietly (Phase B)
4. Test for remaining supply (Test)
5. Mark it up (SOS → Phase E)
💰 They buy LOW when retail panics
```
**Distribution:**
```
1. Create euphoria (PSY, BC)
2. Trap late buyers (UTAD)
3. Distribute to buyers (Phase B)
4. Test for remaining demand (ST)
5. Mark it down (SOW → Phase E)
💰 They sell HIGH when retail buys
```
### Where to Look for Smart Money
```
💰 Buy signals appear at:
- Demand zones (green boxes)
- Springs and shakeouts
- Tests of support
- After selling climax
💰 Sell signals appear at:
- Supply zones (red boxes)
- UTAD and upthrusts
- Weak rallies (LPSY)
- After buying climax
```
---
## PRACTICE EXERCISES
### Exercise 1: Identify the Phase
Look at any chart and ask:
1. Is there a trading range? (Phase B likely)
2. Did we just stop a trend? (Phase A)
3. Was there a spring/UTAD? (Phase C)
4. Is there a breakout? (Phase D)
5. Is trend running? (Phase E)
### Exercise 2: Volume Analysis
For each bar, note:
- Volume level (High/Normal/Low)
- Spread (Wide/Normal/Narrow)
- Effort vs Result (Matching? Diverging?)
### Exercise 3: Find Historical Springs
Go back 6 months:
- Mark all springs you can find
- Note the setup before each
- Track what happened after
- Calculate win rate
---
## FINAL VISUALIZATION: The Complete Cycle
```
ACCUMULATION → MARKUP → DISTRIBUTION → MARKDOWN → ACCUMULATION...
Distribution Accumulation
(Top) (Bottom)
┌───────────────┐ ┌───────────────┐
│ BC UTAD │ │ Spring SC │
│ │ │ │ │ │ │ │
────┴───┴───┴───────┴─╲ ╱────────┴───┴───┴────
╲ ╱
Markdown ╲ ╱ Markup
(Phase E) ╲ ╱ (Phase E)
╲ ╱
╲ ╱
╲ ╱
╲ ╱
V
The market cycles endlessly
Your job: Identify where you are in the cycle
Trade accordingly
```
---
**Remember:**
- 📊 Study charts daily
- 📝 Journal every setup
- 🎯 Wait for the best signals
- 💰 Follow smart money
- ⏰ Be patient
- 🚀 Let winners run
**The indicator does the heavy lifting - you make the decisions!**
[SM-021] Gaussian Trend System [Optimized]This script is a comprehensive trend-following strategy centered around a Gaussian Channel. It is designed to capture significant market movements while filtering out noise during consolidation phases. This version (v2) introduces code optimizations using Pine Script v6 Arrays and a new Intraday Time Control feature.
1. Core Methodology & Math
The foundation of this strategy is the Gaussian Filter, originally conceptualized by @DonovanWall.
Gaussian Poles: Unlike standard moving averages (SMA/EMA), this filter uses "poles" (referencing signal processing logic) to reduce lag while maintaining smoothness.
Array Optimization: In this specific iteration, the f_pole function has been refactored to utilize Pine Script Arrays. This improves calculation efficiency and rendering speed compared to recursive variable calls, especially when calculating deep historical data.
Channel Logic: The strategy calculates a "Filtered True Range" to create High and Low bands around the main Gaussian line.
Long Entry: Price closes above the High Band.
Short Entry: Price closes below the Low Band.
2. Signal Filtering (Confluence)
To reduce false signals common in trend-following systems, the strategy employs a "confluence" approach using three additional layers:
Baseline Filter: A 200-period (customizable) EMA or SMA acts as a regime filter. Longs are only taken above the baseline; Shorts only below.
ADX Filter (Volatility): The Average Directional Index (ADX) is used to measure trend strength. If the ADX is below a user-defined threshold (default: 20), the market is considered "choppy," and new entries are blocked.
Momentum Check: A Stochastic RSI check ensures that momentum aligns with the breakout direction.
3. NEW: Intraday Session Filter
Per user requests, a time-based filter has been added to restrict trading activity to specific market sessions (e.g., the New York Open).
How it works: Users can toggle a checkbox to enable/disable the filter.
Configuration: You can define a specific time range (Default: 09:30 - 16:00) and a specific Timezone (Default: New York).
Logic: The strategy longCondition and shortCondition now check if the current bar's timestamp falls within this window. If outside the window, no new entries are generated, though existing trades are managed normally.
4. Risk Management
The strategy relies on volatility-based exits rather than fixed percentage stops:
ATR Stop Loss: A multiple of the Average True Range (ATR) is calculated at the moment of entry to set a dynamic Stop Loss.
ATR Take Profit: An optional Reward-to-Risk (RR) ratio can be set to place a Take Profit target relative to the Stop Loss distance.
Band Exit: If the trend reverses and price crosses the opposite band, the trade is closed immediately to prevent large drawdowns.
Credits & Attribution
Original Gaussian Logic: Developed by @DonovanWalll. This script utilizes his mathematical formula for the pole filters.
Strategy Wrapper & Array Refactor: Developed by @sebamarghella.
Community Request: The Intraday Session Filter was added to assist traders focusing on specific liquidity windows.
Disclaimer: This strategy is for educational purposes. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Please use the settings menu to adjust the Session Time and Risk parameters to fit your specific asset class.
3-bar Swing Liquidity Grab📊 3-BAR SWING LIQUIDITY GRAB
WHAT IT DOES
Automatically detects 3-bar swing highs/lows and alerts you to liquidity grab moments — when price breaks structural levels to trigger stop-losses, then reverses.
SIGNALS AT A GLANCE
Signal What It Means Trade Idea
SH 🟠▼ Swing High (Resistance) Reference level
SL 🔵▲ Swing Low (Support) Reference level
LQH 🔴❌ Fake break ABOVE resistance SHORT ⬇️
LQL 🟢❌ Fake break BELOW support LONG ⬆️
HOW TO TRADE IT
Spot the trend — Is price going up or down?
Wait for signal — LQL (green) in uptrend, LQH (red) in downtrend
Enter on signal — Place order on that bar
Stop Loss — Just outside the swing level
Take Profit — At the next swing level
SETTINGS EXPLAINED
Swing length: 1 = 3-bar swing, 2 = 5-bar swing (use 1 for scalp, 2 for larger TF)
Lookback bars: Time window to find liquidity grabs (10-20 for scalp, 50+ for position)
Toggles: Show/hide swing markers and signals
BEST ON THESE TIMEFRAMES
TF Type Settings
M5-M15 Scalp SL: 1, LB: 10-15
M15-H1 Intraday SL: 1, LB: 15-20
H1-H4 Swing SL: 1-2, LB: 20-50
D+ Position SL: 2, LB: 50+
KEY RULES
✅ DO:
Trade signals aligned with major trend
Always use stop loss
Use 2-5% risk per trade
Confirm with price action
❌ DON'T:
Trade choppy/sideways markets
Ignore the trend
Chase signals
Overtrade
REAL EXAMPLE
LONG Trade (LQL Signal):
text
Uptrend → Swing Low forms at 1.0950
→ Price dips to 1.0930 (below SL)
→ Closes at 1.0955 (above SL) = GREEN ❌ (LQL)
→ BUY at 1.0960
→ Stop Loss: 1.0920
→ Take Profit: 1.1050 (previous Swing High)
WORKS ON
✅ Crypto (Bitcoin, Ethereum, Altcoins)
✅ Forex (EUR/USD, GBP/USD, etc.)
✅ Stocks & Indices
✅ Commodities (Gold, Oil, etc.)
Any asset, any timeframe, any market.
DISCLAIMER
This is a technical analysis tool, not financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always use proper risk management and test on a demo account first.
DarkPool FlowDarkPool Flow is a professional-grade technical analysis tool designed to align retail traders with the dominant "smart money" flow. Unlike standard moving average crossovers that often generate false signals during consolidation, this script employs a multi-layered filtering engine to isolate high-probability trends.
The core philosophy of this indicator is that Trends are fractal. A sustainable move on a lower timeframe must be supported by momentum on a higher timeframe. By comparing a "Fast Signal Trend" against a "Slow Anchor Trend" (e.g., Daily vs. Weekly), the script identifies the market bias used by institutional algorithms.
This edition features a Smart Recovery Engine, ensuring that valid trends are not missed simply because momentum started slowly, and a Dynamic Cloud that visually represents the strength of the trend spread.
Key Features
1. Auto-Adaptive Timeframe Logic
The script eliminates the guesswork of Multi-Timeframe (MTF) selection. By enabling "Auto-Adapt," the indicator detects your current chart timeframe and automatically maps it to the mathematically correct institutional pairings:
Scalping (<15m): Uses 15-Minute Trend vs. 1-Hour Anchor.
Day Trading (15m - 1H): Uses 4-Hour Trend vs. Daily Anchor.
Swing Trading (4H - Daily): Uses Daily Trend vs. Weekly Anchor (The classic "Golden" setup).
Investing (Weekly): Uses 21-Week EMA vs. 50-Week SMA (Bull Market Support Band logic).
2. Smart Recovery Signal Engine
Standard crossover scripts often miss major moves if the specific breakout candle has low volume or weak ADX. This script utilizes a state-machine logic that "remembers" the trend direction. If a trend begins during low volatility (gray candles), the script waits. The moment volatility and momentum confirm the move, a Smart Recovery Signal is triggered, allowing you to enter an existing trend safely.
3. Chop Protection (Gray Candles)
Preservation of capital is the priority. The script analyzes the Average Directional Index (ADX) and Volatility (ATR).
Colored Candles (Green/Red): The market is trending with sufficient strength. Trading is permitted.
Gray Candles: The market is in a low-energy chop or consolidation (ADX < 20). Trading is discouraged.
4. Dynamic Trend Cloud
The space between the Fast and Slow trends is filled with a dynamic cloud.
Darker/Opaque Cloud: Indicates a widening spread, suggesting accelerating momentum.
Lighter/Transparent Cloud: Indicates a narrowing spread, suggesting the trend may be weakening or consolidating.
5. Pullback & Retest Signals (+)
While triangles mark the start of a trend, the Plus (+) signs mark low-risk opportunities to add to a position. These appear when price dips into the cloud, finds support at the "Fair Value" zone, and closes back in the direction of the trend with confirmed momentum.
User Guide & Strategy
Setup
Add the indicator to your chart.
For Beginners: Enable "Auto-Adaptive Timeframes" in the settings.
For Advanced Users: Disable Auto-Adapt and manually configure your Fast/Slow pairings (Default is Daily 50 EMA / Weekly 50 EMA).
Signal Mode: Choose "First Breakout Only" for a cleaner chart, or "All Signals" if you wish to see re-entry points during choppy starts.
Long Entry Criteria (Buy)
Trend: The Cloud must be Green (Fast Trend > Slow Trend).
Signal: A Green Triangle appears below the bar.
Confirmation: The signal candle must not be Gray.
Re-Entry: A small Green (+) sign appears, indicating a successful test of the cloud support.
Short Entry Criteria (Sell)
Trend: The Cloud must be Red (Fast Trend < Slow Trend).
Signal: A Red Triangle appears above the bar.
Confirmation: The signal candle must not be Gray.
Re-Entry: A small Red (+) sign appears, indicating a successful test of the cloud resistance.
Stop Loss & Risk Management
Stop Loss: A standard institutional stop loss is placed just beyond the Slow Trend Line (the outer edge of the cloud). If price closes beyond the Slow Trend, the macro thesis is invalid.
Take Profit: Target liquidity pools or use a trailing stop based on the Fast Trend line.
Settings Overview
Mode Selection: Toggle between Auto-Adaptive logic or Manual control.
Manual Configuration: Define the specific Timeframe, Length, and Type (EMA, SMA, WMA) for both Fast and Slow trends.
Signal Logic: Toggle "Show Pullback Signals" on/off. Switch between "First Breakout" or "All Signals."
Quality Filters: Toggle individual filters (ATR, RSI, ADX) to adjust sensitivity. Turning these off makes the script more responsive but increases false signals.
Visual Style: Customize colors for Bullish, Bearish, and Neutral (Gray) states. Adjust cloud transparency.
Disclaimer
Risk Warning: Trading financial markets involves a high degree of risk and is not suitable for all investors. You could lose some or all of your initial investment.
Educational Use Only: This script and the information provided herein are for educational and informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice, investment advice, trading advice, or any other recommendation.
No Guarantee: Past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results. The "Institutional Trend" indicator is a tool to assist in technical analysis, not a crystal ball. The creators of this script assume no responsibility or liability for any trading losses or damages incurred as a result of using this tool. Always perform your own due diligence and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
